Jeonbuk Motors0 - 0Daejeon Citizen
Jeonbuk MotorsWhy did AI enter 3 times at 10', 45', 52' — and still finish +$1435?
Match Overview
Jeonbuk Motors hosted Daejeon Citizen in the K League 1, finishing 0-0. OddsFlow deployed 16 trades across 3 waves, achieving 56% precision with a net result of +$1434.87 (ROI: +31.1%).
Pre-Match Odds
The Asian Handicap held at -0.5 but home odds shifted from 1.82 to 2; the home moneyline drifted out from 1.8 to 1.95.
Trade Wave Analysis
### Wave 1 — Minute 10' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 10'. 1 model (oddsflow_core_v8.1) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Jeonbuk Motors -0.5. Average expected value was 23.2%, with a combined stake of $200. The sharpest edge was on Jeonbuk Motors -0.5 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 68.6% probability versus the market's implied 48.2% — a 20.4 percentage point gap at odds of 2.075. **Result:** All 1 trades lost, netting $-200.00. ### Wave 2 — Minute 45' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 45'. 2 models (system4_BLEND_v10, system4_MC_v10) entered Moneyline markets, targeting Jeonbuk Motors. Average expected value was 8.9%, with a combined stake of $1065. **Result:** All 4 trades lost, netting $-1065.00. ### Wave 3 — Minute 52' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 52'. 2 models (system4_MC_v10, system4_BLEND_v10) entered Over/Under and Moneyline and Asian Handicap markets, targeting Under 1.5 and Draw and Daejeon Citizen 0. Average expected value was 18.9%, with a combined stake of $3351. The sharpest edge was on Under 1.5 (Over/Under): OddsFlow calculated 71.3% probability versus the market's implied 51.3% — a 20.0 percentage point gap at odds of 1.95. **Result:** 9 of 11 trades won, netting +$2699.87.
Key Mispricing Moments
- **Minute 10'** — Asian Handicap Jeonbuk Motors -0.5: AI saw 68.6% vs market's 48.2% (20.4pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real. - **Minute 52'** — Over/Under Under 1.5: AI saw 71.3% vs market's 51.3% (20.0pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 52'** — Over/Under Under 1.5: AI saw 70.2% vs market's 51.3% (18.9pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 52'** — Asian Handicap Daejeon Citizen 0: AI saw 57.3% vs market's 38.5% (18.8pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real. - **Minute 52'** — Asian Handicap Daejeon Citizen 0: AI saw 56.9% vs market's 38.5% (18.5pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real.
Model Performance
- **system4_BLEND_v10**: 6 trades, 4W/1L/1V, +$825.24 (ROI: +38.0%) - **system4_MC_v10**: 9 trades, 5W/3L/1V, +$809.63 (ROI: +36.1%) - **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 1 trades, 0W/1L, $-200.00 (ROI: -100.0%)
Match Statistics
Possession was 51–49 in Jeonbuk Motors's favor. Jeonbuk Motors had 6 shots (0 on target) versus Daejeon Citizen's 7 (0 on target). Corners: 5-5.
Verdict
A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +31.1% ROI. Top performer: system4_BLEND_v10 at +$825.24.
A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +31.1% ROI on 16 trades. Top performer: Active Trader at +$825.24.
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