Jeju United FC1 - 1Gangwon FC
Jeju United FCWhy did AI enter 2 times at 31', 35' — and still finish +$3384?
Match Overview
Jeju United FC hosted Gangwon FC in the K League 1, finishing 1-1. Goals: Kim Shin-jin (21'), Kim Shin-jin (22'), Goh Young-jun (28'), Abdallah Hleihel (84'). OddsFlow deployed 13 trades across 2 waves, achieving 100% precision with a net result of +$3383.74 (ROI: +105.0%).
Pre-Match Odds
The Asian Handicap held at 0.25 but home odds shifted from 1.98 to 2.02; the home moneyline drifted out from 3.5 to 3.6.
Trade Wave Analysis
### Wave 1 — Minute 31' (Score: 1-1) **Context:** Level at 1-1 after Goh Young-jun's equalizer at 28'. 1 model (oddsflow_core_v8.1) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Jeju United FC +0.5. Average expected value was 7.7%, with a combined stake of $200. **Result:** All 1 trades won, netting +$145.00. ### Wave 2 — Minute 35' (Score: 1-1) **Context:** Level at 1-1 after Goh Young-jun's equalizer at 28'. 2 models (system4_MC_v10, system4_BLEND_v10) entered Over/Under and Moneyline markets, targeting Under 3.5 and Draw. Average expected value was 24.7%, with a combined stake of $3024. The sharpest edge was on Under 3.5 (Over/Under): OddsFlow calculated 76.7% probability versus the market's implied 55.9% — a 20.8 percentage point gap at odds of 1.79. **Result:** All 12 trades won, netting +$3238.74.
Key Mispricing Moments
- **Minute 35'** — Over/Under Under 3.5: AI saw 76.7% vs market's 55.9% (20.8pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 35'** — Over/Under Under 3.5: AI saw 76.6% vs market's 55.9% (20.7pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 35'** — Over/Under Under 3.5: AI saw 76.7% vs market's 56.2% (20.5pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 35'** — Over/Under Under 3.5: AI saw 76.6% vs market's 56.2% (20.4pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 35'** — Over/Under Under 3.5: AI saw 76.7% vs market's 57.9% (18.8pp gap). correctly identified.
Model Performance
- **system4_MC_v10**: 6 trades, 6W/0L, +$1628.13 (ROI: +107.4%) - **system4_BLEND_v10**: 6 trades, 6W/0L, +$1610.61 (ROI: +106.8%) - **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 1 trades, 1W/0L, +$145.00 (ROI: +72.5%)
Match Statistics
Possession was 57–43 in Jeju United FC's favor. Jeju United FC had 4 shots (3 on target) versus Gangwon FC's 8 (5 on target). Corners: 5-2.
Verdict
A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +105.0% ROI. Top performer: system4_MC_v10 at +$1628.13.
A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +105.0% ROI on 13 trades. Top performer: HDP Sniper at +$1628.13.
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