Jeju United FC2 - 1FC Seoul
Jeju United FCWhat went wrong? 1 trades, $-1463 — the AI's post-mortem.
Match Overview
Jeju United FC hosted FC Seoul in the K League 1, finishing 2-1. Goals: Park Chang-Jun (18'), Kim Jun-ha (53'), L. Ruiz (57'). OddsFlow deployed 1 trades across 1 wave, achieving 0% precision with a net result of $-1463.00 (ROI: -100.0%).
Pre-Match Odds
The Asian Handicap line moved from 0.5 to 0.25; the Over/Under stayed at 2.25 with Over odds moving from 1.96 to 2.02; the home moneyline shortened from 3.85 to 3.61.
Trade Wave Analysis
### Wave 1 — Minute 0' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 0'. 1 model (S5.1_Pre) entered Over/Under markets, targeting Under 2.25. Average expected value was 51.5%, with a combined stake of $1463. The sharpest edge was on Under 2.25 (Over/Under): OddsFlow calculated 74.5% probability versus the market's implied 53.2% — a 21.3 percentage point gap at odds of 1.88. **Result:** All 1 trades lost, netting $-1463.00.
Key Mispricing Moments
- **Minute 0'** — Over/Under Under 2.25: AI saw 74.5% vs market's 53.2% (21.3pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real.
Model Performance
- **S5.1_Pre**: 1 trades, 0W/1L, $-1463.00 (ROI: -100.0%)
Verdict
A tough session at -100.0% ROI. The market moved against OddsFlow's positions, though the underlying probability assessments may still prove correct over a larger sample.
A tough session at -100.0% ROI. The market moved against OddsFlow's positions.
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