Gwangju FC0 - 0Gangwon FC
Gwangju FCWhat went wrong? 1 trades, $-808 — the AI's post-mortem.
Match Overview
Gwangju FC hosted Gangwon FC in the K League 1, finishing 0-0. OddsFlow deployed 1 trades across 1 wave, achieving 0% precision with a net result of $-808.00 (ROI: -100.0%).
Pre-Match Odds
The Asian Handicap held at 1.25 but home odds shifted from 1.79 to 1.86; the home moneyline drifted out from 8.26 to 9.04.
Trade Wave Analysis
### Wave 1 — Minute 0' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 0'. 1 model (S5.1_Pre) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Gangwon FC +1.25. Average expected value was 33.9%, with a combined stake of $808. The sharpest edge was on Gangwon FC +1.25 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 59.9% probability versus the market's implied 48.8% — a 11.2 percentage point gap at odds of 2.05. **Result:** All 1 trades lost, netting $-808.00.
Key Mispricing Moments
- **Minute 0'** — Asian Handicap Gangwon FC +1.25: AI saw 59.9% vs market's 48.8% (11.2pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real.
Model Performance
- **S5.1_Pre**: 1 trades, 0W/1L, $-808.00 (ROI: -100.0%)
Verdict
A tough session at -100.0% ROI. The market moved against OddsFlow's positions, though the underlying probability assessments may still prove correct over a larger sample.
A tough session at -100.0% ROI. The market moved against OddsFlow's positions.
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