FC Seoul1 - 3Ulsan Hyundai FC
FC SeoulWhat went wrong? 1 trades, $-200 — the AI's post-mortem.
Match Overview
FC Seoul hosted Ulsan Hyundai FC in the K League 1, finishing 1-3. Goals: Erick Farias (5'), Lee Dong-Gyeong (13'), Jeong Seung-Won (61'), Yago Cariello (90'). OddsFlow deployed 1 trades across 1 wave, achieving 0% precision with a net result of $-200.00 (ROI: -100.0%).
Pre-Match Odds
the Over/Under stayed at 2.5 with Over odds moving from 1.85 to 1.8.
Trade Wave Analysis
### Wave 1 — Minute 21' (Score: 0-2) **Context:** Ulsan Hyundai FC leading 0-2 at 21'. 1 model (oddsflow_core_v8.1) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting FC Seoul -1.5. Average expected value was 13.4%, with a combined stake of $200. The sharpest edge was on FC Seoul -1.5 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 48.5% probability versus the market's implied 37.4% — a 11.2 percentage point gap at odds of 2.675. **Result:** All 1 trades lost, netting $-200.00.
Key Mispricing Moments
- **Minute 21'** — Asian Handicap FC Seoul -1.5: AI saw 48.5% vs market's 37.4% (11.2pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real.
Model Performance
- **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 1 trades, 0W/1L, $-200.00 (ROI: -100.0%)
Verdict
A tough session at -100.0% ROI. The market moved against OddsFlow's positions, though the underlying probability assessments may still prove correct over a larger sample.
A tough session at -100.0% ROI. The market moved against OddsFlow's positions.
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