Bucheon FC 19951 - 3FC Seoul
Bucheon FC 1995What went wrong? 1 trades, $-200 — the AI's post-mortem.
Match Overview
Bucheon FC 1995 hosted FC Seoul in the K League 1, finishing 1-3. Goals: Cho Young-Wook (42'), Jeong Seung-Won (54'), Jeong Seung-Won (55'), Kim Sang-Jun (63'), Kim Seung-Bin (63'), P. Klimala (90'). OddsFlow deployed 1 trades across 1 wave, achieving 0% precision with a net result of $-200.00 (ROI: -100.0%).
Pre-Match Odds
The Asian Handicap held at 0.75 but home odds shifted from 1.82 to 1.9; the home moneyline drifted out from 4.5 to 5.
Trade Wave Analysis
### Wave 1 — Minute 10' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 10'. 1 model (oddsflow_core_v8.1) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Bucheon FC 1995 +0.5. Average expected value was 31.8%, with a combined stake of $200. The sharpest edge was on Bucheon FC 1995 +0.5 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 73.7% probability versus the market's implied 44.4% — a 29.3 percentage point gap at odds of 2.25. **Result:** All 1 trades lost, netting $-200.00.
Key Mispricing Moments
- **Minute 10'** — Asian Handicap Bucheon FC 1995 +0.5: AI saw 73.7% vs market's 44.4% (29.3pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real.
Model Performance
- **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 1 trades, 0W/1L, $-200.00 (ROI: -100.0%)
Verdict
A tough session at -100.0% ROI. The market moved against OddsFlow's positions, though the underlying probability assessments may still prove correct over a larger sample.
A tough session at -100.0% ROI. The market moved against OddsFlow's positions.
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