Urawa0 - 2Fagiano Okayama
Urawa1 trades, 100% precision — how did AI read this match?
Match Overview
Urawa hosted Fagiano Okayama in the J1 League, finishing 0-2. Goals: H. Omori (18'), K. Kawano (90'). OddsFlow deployed 1 trades across 1 wave, achieving 100% precision with a net result of +$4.16 (ROI: +104.0%).
Pre-Match Odds
The Asian Handicap remained steady at -0.5; the Over/Under stayed at 2.25 with Over odds moving from 1.95 to 1.89.
Trade Wave Analysis
### Wave 1 — Minute 40' (Score: 0-1) **Context:** Fagiano Okayama leading 0-1 at 40'. 1 model (system4_MC_v10) entered Over/Under markets, targeting Under 2.5. Average expected value was 12.3%, with a combined stake of $4. The sharpest edge was on Under 2.5 (Over/Under): OddsFlow calculated 60.0% probability versus the market's implied 49.0% — a 11.0 percentage point gap at odds of 2.04. **Result:** All 1 trades won, netting +$4.16.
Key Mispricing Moments
- **Minute 40'** — Over/Under Under 2.5: AI saw 60.0% vs market's 49.0% (11.0pp gap). correctly identified.
Model Performance
- **system4_MC_v10**: 1 trades, 1W/0L, +$4.16 (ROI: +104.0%)
Match Statistics
Possession was 69–31 in Urawa's favor. Urawa had 18 shots (4 on target) versus Fagiano Okayama's 14 (7 on target). Corners: 5-4.
Verdict
A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +104.0% ROI.
A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +104.0% ROI on 1 trades.
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