Cerezo Osaka2 - 2FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka2 trades, 100% precision — how did AI read this match?
Match Overview
Cerezo Osaka hosted FC Tokyo in the J1 League, finishing 2-2. Goals: A. Ohata (35' OG), A. Ohata (36' OG), M. Shibayama (45'), Marcelo Ryan (49'), Marcelo Ryan (50'), K. Noborizato (79'). OddsFlow deployed 2 trades across 1 wave, achieving 100% precision with a net result of +$4.88 (ROI: +61.0%).
Pre-Match Odds
Pre-match odds showed minimal movement.
Trade Wave Analysis
### Wave 1 — Minute 79' (Score: 1-2) **Context:** FC Tokyo leading 1-2 at 79'. K. Noborizato scored moments ago. 2 models (system4_MC_v10, system4_BLEND_v10) entered Over/Under markets, targeting Under 4.5. Average expected value was 20.4%, with a combined stake of $8. The sharpest edge was on Under 4.5 (Over/Under): OddsFlow calculated 80.3% probability versus the market's implied 62.1% — a 18.2 percentage point gap at odds of 1.61. **Result:** All 2 trades won, netting +$4.88.
Key Mispricing Moments
- **Minute 79'** — Over/Under Under 4.5: AI saw 80.3% vs market's 62.1% (18.2pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 79'** — Over/Under Under 4.5: AI saw 80.1% vs market's 62.1% (18.0pp gap). correctly identified.
Model Performance
- **system4_MC_v10**: 1 trades, 1W/0L, +$2.44 (ROI: +61.0%) - **system4_BLEND_v10**: 1 trades, 1W/0L, +$2.44 (ROI: +61.0%)
Match Statistics
Possession was 54–46 in Cerezo Osaka's favor. Cerezo Osaka had 15 shots (5 on target) versus FC Tokyo's 11 (4 on target). Corners: 5-4.
Verdict
A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +61.0% ROI. Top performer: system4_MC_v10 at +$2.44.
A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +61.0% ROI on 2 trades. Top performer: HDP Sniper at +$2.44.
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