Jamshedpur0 - 0Odisha
JamshedpurWhy did AI enter 3 times at 47', 67', 100' — and still finish +$1540?
Match Overview
Jamshedpur hosted Odisha in the Indian Super League, finishing 0-0. OddsFlow deployed 20 trades across 3 waves, achieving 100% precision with a net result of +$1539.91 (ROI: +130.3%).
Pre-Match Odds
The Asian Handicap line moved from -1.25 to -1.5; the Over/Under line shifted from 2.75 to 3; the home moneyline shortened from 1.41 to 1.27.
Trade Wave Analysis
### Wave 1 — Minute 47' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 47'. 2 models (system4_BLEND_v10, system4_MC_v10) entered Moneyline and Asian Handicap and Over/Under markets, targeting Draw and Odisha -1 and Under 1.5. Average expected value was 60.8%, with a combined stake of $669. The sharpest edge was on Odisha -1 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 97.7% probability versus the market's implied 47.8% — a 49.8 percentage point gap at odds of 2.09. **Result:** All 16 trades won, netting +$1125.19. ### Wave 2 — Minute 67' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 67'. 3 models (oddsflow_core_v8.1, system4_MC_v10, system4_BLEND_v10) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Odisha -0.5. Average expected value was 35.7%, with a combined stake of $13. The sharpest edge was on Odisha -0.5 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 80.6% probability versus the market's implied 45.5% — a 35.2 percentage point gap at odds of 2.2. **Result:** All 3 trades won, netting +$14.72. ### Wave 3 — Minute 100' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 100'. 1 model (oddsflow_core_v8.1) entered Over/Under markets, targeting Under 1.5. Average expected value was 21.1%, with a combined stake of $500. The sharpest edge was on Under 1.5 (Over/Under): OddsFlow calculated 63.0% probability versus the market's implied 55.6% — a 7.4 percentage point gap at odds of 1.8. **Result:** All 1 trades won, netting +$400.00.
Key Mispricing Moments
- **Minute 48'** — Asian Handicap Odisha -1: AI saw 97.7% vs market's 47.8% (49.8pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 48'** — Asian Handicap Odisha -1: AI saw 97.7% vs market's 47.8% (49.8pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 48'** — Asian Handicap Odisha -1: AI saw 97.5% vs market's 47.8% (49.7pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 48'** — Asian Handicap Odisha -1: AI saw 97.5% vs market's 47.8% (49.7pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 67'** — Asian Handicap Odisha -0.5: AI saw 80.6% vs market's 45.5% (35.2pp gap). correctly identified.
Model Performance
- **system4_MC_v10**: 9 trades, 9W/0L, +$650.43 (ROI: +176.3%) - **system4_BLEND_v10**: 9 trades, 9W/0L, +$483.48 (ROI: +157.0%) - **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 2 trades, 2W/0L, +$406.00 (ROI: +80.4%)
Match Statistics
Jamshedpur had 21 shots (7 on target) versus Odisha's 3 (0 on target). Corners: 11-1.
Verdict
A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +130.3% ROI. Top performer: system4_MC_v10 at +$650.43.
A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +130.3% ROI on 20 trades. Top performer: HDP Sniper at +$650.43.
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