Ajax1 - 1Utrecht
AjaxWhat went wrong? 1 trades, $-4 — the AI's post-mortem.
Match Overview
Ajax hosted Utrecht in the Eredivisie, finishing 1-1. Goals: D. Klaassen (96'), G. Zechiel (106'), D. Klaassen (120' pen), R. El Arguioui (120' pen), A. Blake (120' pen), W. Weghorst (120' pen), G. Zechiel (120' pen), M. Godts (120' pen), A. Gaaei (120' pen). OddsFlow deployed 1 trades across 1 wave, achieving 0% precision with a net result of $-4.00 (ROI: -100.0%).
Pre-Match Odds
The Asian Handicap line moved from -0.75 to -0.5; the Over/Under line shifted from 3.25 to 2.75; the home moneyline drifted out from 1.75 to 2.02.
Trade Wave Analysis
### Wave 1 — Minute 11' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 11'. 1 model (oddsflow_core_v8.1) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Ajax -0.5. Average expected value was 4.1%, with a combined stake of $4. **Result:** All 1 trades lost, netting $-4.00.
Model Performance
- **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 1 trades, 0W/1L, $-4.00 (ROI: -100.0%)
Match Statistics
Possession was 63–37 in Ajax's favor. Ajax had 24 shots (8 on target) versus Utrecht's 12 (4 on target). Expected goals: Ajax 1.47 — Utrecht 0.96. Corners: 8-4.
Verdict
A tough session at -100.0% ROI. The market moved against OddsFlow's positions, though the underlying probability assessments may still prove correct over a larger sample.
A tough session at -100.0% ROI. The market moved against OddsFlow's positions.
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