Valletta FC0 - 4Raków Częstochowa
Valletta FCWhat went wrong? 1 trades, $-4 — the AI's post-mortem.
Match Overview
Valletta FC hosted Raków Częstochowa in the UEFA Europa Conference League, finishing 0-4. Goals: M. Ameyaw (22'), T. Pienko (31'), A. Molnar (54'), A. Molnar (55'), P. Makuch (78'), P. Makuch (79'). Valletta FC received a red card (, 60'). OddsFlow deployed 1 trades across 1 wave, achieving 0% precision with a net result of $-4.00 (ROI: -100.0%).
Pre-Match Odds
The Asian Handicap line moved from 1.25 to 1; the home moneyline shortened from 5.5 to 4.75.
Trade Wave Analysis
### Wave 1 — Minute 10' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 10'. 1 model (oddsflow_core_v8.1) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Valletta FC +0.5. Average expected value was 34.4%, with a combined stake of $4. The sharpest edge was on Valletta FC +0.5 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 76.4% probability versus the market's implied 44.4% — a 31.9 percentage point gap at odds of 2.25. **Result:** All 1 trades lost, netting $-4.00.
Key Mispricing Moments
- **Minute 10'** — Asian Handicap Valletta FC +0.5: AI saw 76.4% vs market's 44.4% (31.9pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real.
Model Performance
- **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 1 trades, 0W/1L, $-4.00 (ROI: -100.0%)
Verdict
A tough session at -100.0% ROI. The market moved against OddsFlow's positions, though the underlying probability assessments may still prove correct over a larger sample.
A tough session at -100.0% ROI. The market moved against OddsFlow's positions.
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