UNA Strassen0 - 1FK Partizan
UNA StrassenWhat went wrong? 1 trades, $-4 — the AI's post-mortem.
Match Overview
UNA Strassen hosted FK Partizan in the UEFA Europa Conference League, finishing 0-1. Goals: B. Kostic (48'). OddsFlow deployed 1 trades across 1 wave, achieving 0% precision with a net result of $-4.00 (ROI: -100.0%).
Pre-Match Odds
The Asian Handicap line moved from 1 to 0.75; the Over/Under stayed at 2.5 with Over odds moving from 1.67 to 1.75; the home moneyline shortened from 5 to 3.9.
Trade Wave Analysis
### Wave 1 — Minute 15' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 15'. 1 model (oddsflow_core_v8.1) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting UNA Strassen +0.5. Average expected value was 18.2%, with a combined stake of $4. The sharpest edge was on UNA Strassen +0.5 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 70.9% probability versus the market's implied 55.6% — a 15.3 percentage point gap at odds of 1.8. **Result:** All 1 trades lost, netting $-4.00.
Key Mispricing Moments
- **Minute 15'** — Asian Handicap UNA Strassen +0.5: AI saw 70.9% vs market's 55.6% (15.3pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real.
Model Performance
- **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 1 trades, 0W/1L, $-4.00 (ROI: -100.0%)
Verdict
A tough session at -100.0% ROI. The market moved against OddsFlow's positions, though the underlying probability assessments may still prove correct over a larger sample.
A tough session at -100.0% ROI. The market moved against OddsFlow's positions.
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