Full Time
Conference League · Skonto stadions, Riga · 2026-07-28

RigaRiga
5 - 2
Vardar SkopjeVardar Skopje

+$116.20
Match Precision100%
Signal Hit Rate2/2
Model Lineup
🛡️
Oddsflow Core Strategy
+$116
★★★★★
2W-0L · 100%
🧠 Key Question

2 trades, 100% precision — how did AI read this match?

Trade Story

Match Overview

Riga hosted Vardar Skopje in the UEFA Europa Conference League, finishing 5-2. Goals: D. Babunski (17'), A. Omeragic (66'), A. Taiwo (87'), R. Aouani (92'), Iago Siqueira (105'), Iago Siqueira (105'), Reginaldo Ramires (109'), Caio Ferreira (117'). Vardar Skopje received a red card (F. Najdovski, 19'). OddsFlow deployed 2 trades across 1 wave, achieving 100% precision with a net result of +$116.20 (ROI: +111.7%).

Pre-Match Odds

The Asian Handicap line moved from -1.25 to -1.5; the Over/Under line shifted from 2.5 to 3.5.

Trade Wave Analysis

### Wave 1 — Minute 10' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 10'. 1 model (oddsflow_core_v8.1) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Vardar Skopje -1. Average expected value was 46.1%, with a combined stake of $104. The sharpest edge was on Vardar Skopje -1 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 76.4% probability versus the market's implied 47.2% — a 29.2 percentage point gap at odds of 2.12. **Result:** All 2 trades won, netting +$116.20.

Key Mispricing Moments

- **Minute 10'** — Asian Handicap Vardar Skopje -1: AI saw 76.4% vs market's 47.2% (29.2pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 10'** — Asian Handicap Vardar Skopje -1: AI saw 76.4% vs market's 48.8% (27.6pp gap). correctly identified.

Model Performance

- **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 2 trades, 2W/0L, +$116.20 (ROI: +111.7%)

🏆

Verdict

A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +111.7% ROI.

Trade Waves
Match Timeline
22'🔄
P
Miguel Pires(assist: D. Velkovski)Vardar Skopje
46'🔄
D
M. Diop(assist: Caio Ferreira)Riga
65'🔄
G
O. Galo(assist: Reginaldo Ramires)Riga
69'🔄
O
A. Omeragic(assist: G. Zakaric)Vardar Skopje
75'🔄
S
A. Salazar(assist: A. Taiwo)Riga
76'🔄
S
A. Salazar(assist: A. Taiwo)Riga
83'🔄
C
D. Castaneda(assist: F. Duranski)Vardar Skopje
84'🔄
C
D. Castaneda(assist: F. Duranski)Vardar Skopje
91'🔄
M
M. Manevski(assist: F. Cvetkovski)Vardar Skopje
91'🔄
J
R. Jurkovskis(assist: M. Tonisevs)Riga
98'🔄
B
M. Badamosi(assist: A. Cernomordijs)Riga
99'🔄
B
M. Badamosi(assist: A. Cernomordijs)Riga
99'🔄
P
I. Puleio(assist: D. Danev)Vardar Skopje
99'🔄
B
D. Babunski(assist: D. Todorovski)Vardar Skopje
111'🔄
A
R. Aouani(assist: K. Wassom)Riga
112'🔄
A
R. Aouani(assist: K. Wassom)Riga
Odds Movement
Key Mispricing
Pre-Match Odds
Verdict

A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +111.7% ROI on 2 trades.

See AI signals as they happen

This report shows settled results. Get real-time AI signals during live matches.