Brann3 - 1Universitatea Cluj
BrannWhat went wrong? 1 trades, $-6 — the AI's post-mortem.
Match Overview
Brann hosted Universitatea Cluj in the UEFA Europa Conference League, finishing 3-1. Goals: N. Castro (8'), J. Lukic (26'), U. Mathisen (45'), N. Castro (75'). OddsFlow deployed 1 trades across 1 wave, achieving 0% precision with a net result of $-6.00 (ROI: -100.0%).
Pre-Match Odds
The Asian Handicap held at -1.25 but home odds shifted from 1.9 to 1.8; the Over/Under line shifted from 2.5 to 3.5.
Trade Wave Analysis
### Wave 1 — Minute 30' (Score: 1-1) **Context:** Level at 1-1 after J. Lukic's equalizer at 26'. 1 model (oddsflow_core_v8.1) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Universitatea Cluj -1. Average expected value was 34.5%, with a combined stake of $6. The sharpest edge was on Universitatea Cluj -1 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 84.5% probability versus the market's implied 52.6% — a 31.9 percentage point gap at odds of 1.9. **Result:** All 1 trades lost, netting $-6.00.
Key Mispricing Moments
- **Minute 30'** — Asian Handicap Universitatea Cluj -1: AI saw 84.5% vs market's 52.6% (31.9pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real.
Model Performance
- **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 1 trades, 0W/1L, $-6.00 (ROI: -100.0%)
Verdict
A tough session at -100.0% ROI. The market moved against OddsFlow's positions, though the underlying probability assessments may still prove correct over a larger sample.
A tough session at -100.0% ROI. The market moved against OddsFlow's positions.
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