Atlètic Club d'Escaldes0 - 2FC Vaduz
Atlètic Club d'EscaldesWhat went wrong? 1 trades, $-5 — the AI's post-mortem.
Match Overview
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes hosted FC Vaduz in the UEFA Europa Conference League, finishing 0-2. Goals: D. Djokic (9'), D. Simani (73'). OddsFlow deployed 1 trades across 1 wave, achieving 0% precision with a net result of $-5.00 (ROI: -100.0%).
Pre-Match Odds
The Asian Handicap held at 1 but home odds shifted from 1.8 to 1.78; the home moneyline shortened from 4.75 to 4.5.
Trade Wave Analysis
### Wave 1 — Minute 11' (Score: 0-1) **Context:** FC Vaduz leading 0-1 at 11'. D. Djokic scored moments ago. 1 model (oddsflow_core_v8.1) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Atlètic Club d'Escaldes +0.5. Average expected value was 36.1%, with a combined stake of $5. The sharpest edge was on Atlètic Club d'Escaldes +0.5 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 79.9% probability versus the market's implied 46.5% — a 33.4 percentage point gap at odds of 2.15. **Result:** All 1 trades lost, netting $-5.00.
Key Mispricing Moments
- **Minute 11'** — Asian Handicap Atlètic Club d'Escaldes +0.5: AI saw 79.9% vs market's 46.5% (33.4pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real.
Model Performance
- **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 1 trades, 0W/1L, $-5.00 (ROI: -100.0%)
Verdict
A tough session at -100.0% ROI. The market moved against OddsFlow's positions, though the underlying probability assessments may still prove correct over a larger sample.
A tough session at -100.0% ROI. The market moved against OddsFlow's positions.
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