Wuhan Three Towns

1 - 1

Yunnan Yukun

Wuhan Three Towns hosted Yunnan Yukun in the Super League, finishing 1-1. Goals: J. Cadiz (57'), Han Zilong (75'). OddsFlow deployed 14 trades across 7 waves, achieving 57% precision with a net result of +$4840.90 (ROI: +72.6%).

The Asian Handicap line moved from 0 to 0.25; the Over/Under line shifted from 3 to 3.25; the home moneyline drifted out from 2.73 to 2.89.

### Wave 1 — Minute 10' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 10'. 1 model (oddsflow_core_v8.1) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Yunnan Yukun 0. Average expected value was 19.4%, with a combined stake of $200. The sharpest edge was on Yunnan Yukun 0 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 60.4% probability versus the market's implied 43.5% — a 16.9 percentage point gap at odds of 2.3. **Result:** 0 of 1 trades won, netting +$0.00. ### Wave 2 — Minute 53' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 53'. 2 models (system4_BLEND_v10, system4_MC_v10) entered Asian Handicap and Moneyline markets, targeting Yunnan Yukun 0 and Draw. Average expected value was 19.2%, with a combined stake of $1578. The sharpest edge was on Yunnan Yukun 0 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 69.1% probability versus the market's implied 38.5% — a 30.6 percentage point gap at odds of 2.6. **Result:** 2 of 4 trades won, netting +$892.00. ### Wave 3 — Minute 57' (Score: 1-0) **Context:** Wuhan Three Towns leading 1-0 at 57'. J. Cadiz scored moments ago. 2 models (system4_BLEND_v10, system4_MC_v10) entered Asian Handicap and Over/Under and Moneyline markets, targeting Yunnan Yukun -1 and Over 2.25 and Wuhan Three Towns and Over 1.5. Average expected value was 35.3%, with a combined stake of $2180. The sharpest edge was on Yunnan Yukun -1 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 93.6% probability versus the market's implied 44.4% — a 49.1 percentage point gap at odds of 2.25. **Result:** 2 of 5 trades won, netting +$1081.25. ### Wave 4 — Minute 64' (Score: 1-0) **Context:** Wuhan Three Towns leading 1-0 at 64'. Yunnan Yukun made 3 substitutions. 1 model (system4_MC_v10) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Yunnan Yukun -1. Average expected value was 52.6%, with a combined stake of $657. The sharpest edge was on Yunnan Yukun -1 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 95.4% probability versus the market's implied 45.5% — a 50.0 percentage point gap at odds of 2.2. **Result:** All 1 trades won, netting +$788.40. ### Wave 5 — Minute 68' (Score: 1-0) **Context:** Wuhan Three Towns leading 1-0 at 68'. 1 model (system4_BLEND_v10) entered Over/Under markets, targeting Over 1.5. Average expected value was 9.2%, with a combined stake of $500. **Result:** All 1 trades won, netting +$266.50. ### Wave 6 — Minute 73' (Score: 2-0) **Context:** Wuhan Three Towns leading 2-0 at 73'. null scored moments ago. 1 model (system4_HYBRID_v10) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Yunnan Yukun -1. Average expected value was 57.9%, with a combined stake of $1054. The sharpest edge was on Yunnan Yukun -1 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 97.4% probability versus the market's implied 42.1% — a 55.3 percentage point gap at odds of 2.375. **Result:** All 1 trades won, netting +$1449.25. ### Wave 7 — Minute 79' (Score: 1-1) **Context:** Level at 1-1 after Han Zilong's equalizer at 75'. 1 model (system4_BLEND_v10) entered Moneyline markets, targeting Draw. Average expected value was 8.2%, with a combined stake of $500. **Result:** All 1 trades won, netting +$363.50.

- **Minute 73'** — Asian Handicap Yunnan Yukun -1: AI saw 97.4% vs market's 42.1% (55.3pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 64'** — Asian Handicap Yunnan Yukun -1: AI saw 95.4% vs market's 45.5% (50.0pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 57'** — Asian Handicap Yunnan Yukun -1: AI saw 93.6% vs market's 44.4% (49.1pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 53'** — Asian Handicap Yunnan Yukun 0: AI saw 69.1% vs market's 38.5% (30.6pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real. - **Minute 53'** — Asian Handicap Yunnan Yukun 0: AI saw 68.3% vs market's 40.0% (28.4pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real.

- **system4_BLEND_v10**: 4 trades, 3W/0L/1V, +$1921.25 (ROI: +75.4%) - **system4_MC_v10**: 8 trades, 4W/1L/3V, +$1470.40 (ROI: +51.3%) - **system4_HYBRID_v10**: 1 trades, 1W/0L, +$1449.25 (ROI: +137.5%) - **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 1 trades, 0W/0L/1V, +$0.00 (ROI: +0.0%)

Possession was 54–46 in Wuhan Three Towns's favor. Wuhan Three Towns had 12 shots (4 on target) versus Yunnan Yukun's 6 (1 on target). Corners: 7-3.