Wuhan Three Towns

2 - 2

Shenyang Urban

Wuhan Three Towns hosted Shenyang Urban in the Super League, finishing 2-2. Goals: Gustavo Sauer (10'), Yan Dinghao (27'), J. Cadiz (38'), A. Kouame (85'). OddsFlow deployed 25 trades across 5 waves, achieving 48% precision with a net result of +$4195.30 (ROI: +52.2%).

The Asian Handicap held at -0.25 but home odds shifted from 1.93 to 2.11; the Over/Under line shifted from 2.75 to 2.5; the home moneyline drifted out from 2.22 to 2.46.

### Wave 1 — Minute 0' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 0'. 1 model (S5.1_Pre) entered Over/Under markets, targeting Under 2.5. Average expected value was 15.2%, with a combined stake of $10. The sharpest edge was on Under 2.5 (Over/Under): OddsFlow calculated 57.9% probability versus the market's implied 50.3% — a 7.6 percentage point gap at odds of 1.99. **Result:** All 1 trades lost, netting $-10.00. ### Wave 2 — Minute 10' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 10'. 1 model (oddsflow_core_v8.1) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Shenyang Urban -1. Average expected value was 30.8%, with a combined stake of $200. The sharpest edge was on Shenyang Urban -1 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 79.5% probability versus the market's implied 51.3% — a 28.2 percentage point gap at odds of 1.95. **Result:** All 1 trades won, netting +$190.00. ### Wave 3 — Minute 35' (Score: 1-1) **Context:** Level at 1-1 after Yan Dinghao's equalizer at 27'. 2 models (system4_BLEND_v10, system4_MC_v10) entered Over/Under and Asian Handicap and Moneyline markets, targeting Under 3.5 and Shenyang Urban 0 and Draw. Average expected value was 15.9%, with a combined stake of $2776. The sharpest edge was on Shenyang Urban 0 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 62.7% probability versus the market's implied 50.8% — a 11.9 percentage point gap at odds of 1.97. **Result:** 3 of 11 trades won, netting +$116.70. ### Wave 4 — Minute 38' (Score: 1-1) **Context:** Level at 1-1 after J. Cadiz's equalizer at 38'. 2 models (system4_MC_v10, system4_BLEND_v10) entered Asian Handicap and Moneyline and Over/Under markets, targeting Shenyang Urban -1 and Draw and Under 4.5 and Under 4.75 and Wuhan Three Towns. Average expected value was 23.1%, with a combined stake of $4047. The sharpest edge was on Shenyang Urban -1 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 91.4% probability versus the market's implied 57.1% — a 34.3 percentage point gap at odds of 1.75. **Result:** 6 of 10 trades won, netting +$2148.60. ### Wave 5 — Minute 56' (Score: 2-1) **Context:** Wuhan Three Towns leading 2-1 at 56'. 2 models (system4_BLEND_v10, system4_MC_v10) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Shenyang Urban -0.5. Average expected value was 41.3%, with a combined stake of $1000. The sharpest edge was on Shenyang Urban -0.5 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 76.0% probability versus the market's implied 36.4% — a 39.7 percentage point gap at odds of 2.75. **Result:** All 2 trades won, netting +$1750.00.

- **Minute 56'** — Asian Handicap Shenyang Urban -0.5: AI saw 76.0% vs market's 36.4% (39.7pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 57'** — Asian Handicap Shenyang Urban -0.5: AI saw 74.9% vs market's 36.4% (38.6pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 39'** — Asian Handicap Shenyang Urban -1: AI saw 91.4% vs market's 57.1% (34.3pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 38'** — Over/Under Under 4.5: AI saw 81.8% vs market's 47.6% (34.2pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 38'** — Asian Handicap Shenyang Urban -1: AI saw 87.5% vs market's 56.3% (31.2pp gap). correctly identified.

- **system4_MC_v10**: 14 trades, 7W/4L/3V, +$2041.05 (ROI: +51.5%) - **system4_BLEND_v10**: 9 trades, 4W/2L/3V, +$1974.25 (ROI: +51.2%) - **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 1 trades, 1W/0L, +$190.00 (ROI: +95.0%) - **S5.1_Pre**: 1 trades, 0W/1L, $-10.00 (ROI: -100.0%)

Possession was 33–67 in Wuhan Three Towns's deficit. Wuhan Three Towns had 13 shots (4 on target) versus Shenyang Urban's 14 (6 on target). Corners: 3-6.