Tianjin Teda

1 - 0

Dalian Zhixing

Tianjin Teda hosted Dalian Zhixing in the Super League, finishing 1-0. Goals: A. Cordoba (10'), A. Cordoba (12'). OddsFlow deployed 15 trades across 5 waves, achieving 73% precision with a net result of +$3342.38 (ROI: +71.3%).

The Asian Handicap line moved from 0 to 0.25; the Over/Under line shifted from 2.25 to 2.5; the home moneyline drifted out from 2.81 to 3.11.

### Wave 1 — Minute 0' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 0'. 1 model (S5.1_Pre) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Tianjin Teda +0.25. Average expected value was 16.6%, with a combined stake of $10. **Result:** All 1 trades won, netting +$8.20. ### Wave 2 — Minute 11' (Score: 1-0) **Context:** Tianjin Teda leading 1-0 at 11'. null scored moments ago. 1 model (oddsflow_core_v8.1) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Dalian Zhixing 0. Average expected value was 10.8%, with a combined stake of $250. The sharpest edge was on Dalian Zhixing 0 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 63.6% probability versus the market's implied 56.5% — a 7.1 percentage point gap at odds of 1.77. **Result:** 0 of 2 trades won, netting +$0.00. ### Wave 3 — Minute 35' (Score: 1-0) **Context:** Tianjin Teda leading 1-0 at 35'. 2 models (system4_BLEND_v10, system4_MC_v10) entered Moneyline and Asian Handicap markets, targeting Tianjin Teda and Dalian Zhixing 0. Average expected value was 28.1%, with a combined stake of $2430. The sharpest edge was on Dalian Zhixing 0 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 66.6% probability versus the market's implied 36.4% — a 30.3 percentage point gap at odds of 2.75. **Result:** 6 of 8 trades won, netting +$1359.18. ### Wave 4 — Minute 40' (Score: 1-0) **Context:** Tianjin Teda leading 1-0 at 40'. 2 models (system4_MC_v10, system4_BLEND_v10) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Dalian Zhixing -0.5. Average expected value was 16.7%, with a combined stake of $1000. The sharpest edge was on Dalian Zhixing -0.5 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 67.5% probability versus the market's implied 53.3% — a 14.1 percentage point gap at odds of 1.875. **Result:** All 2 trades won, netting +$875.00. ### Wave 5 — Minute 43' (Score: 1-0) **Context:** Tianjin Teda leading 1-0 at 43'. 2 models (system4_MC_v10, system4_BLEND_v10) entered Over/Under markets, targeting Under 2.5. Average expected value was 8.9%, with a combined stake of $1000. The sharpest edge was on Under 2.5 (Over/Under): OddsFlow calculated 53.8% probability versus the market's implied 47.6% — a 6.2 percentage point gap at odds of 2.1. **Result:** All 2 trades won, netting +$1100.00.

- **Minute 35'** — Asian Handicap Dalian Zhixing 0: AI saw 66.6% vs market's 36.4% (30.3pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real. - **Minute 35'** — Asian Handicap Dalian Zhixing 0: AI saw 65.7% vs market's 36.4% (29.3pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real. - **Minute 35'** — Moneyline Tianjin Teda: AI saw 70.5% vs market's 51.3% (19.2pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 35'** — Moneyline Tianjin Teda: AI saw 70.5% vs market's 51.2% (19.2pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 35'** — Moneyline Tianjin Teda: AI saw 70.5% vs market's 51.5% (18.9pp gap). correctly identified.

- **system4_MC_v10**: 6 trades, 5W/0L/1V, +$1774.46 (ROI: +76.2%) - **system4_BLEND_v10**: 6 trades, 5W/0L/1V, +$1559.72 (ROI: +74.2%) - **S5.1_Pre**: 1 trades, 1W/0L, +$8.20 (ROI: +82.0%) - **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 2 trades, 0W/0L/2V, +$0.00 (ROI: +0.0%)

Possession was 33–67 in Tianjin Teda's deficit. Tianjin Teda had 7 shots (4 on target) versus Dalian Zhixing's 16 (2 on target). Corners: 7-9.