Tianjin Teda1 - 2Chengdu Better City
Tianjin TedaWhat went wrong? 3 trades, $-293 — the AI's post-mortem.
Match Overview
Tianjin Teda hosted Chengdu Better City in the Super League, finishing 1-2. Goals: Wang Xianjun (9'), Wei Shihao (16'), Wei Shihao (57'). OddsFlow deployed 3 trades across 1 wave, achieving 0% precision with a net result of $-293.00 (ROI: -100.0%).
Pre-Match Odds
The Asian Handicap line moved from 1 to 0.75; the Over/Under line shifted from 2.75 to 2.5; the home moneyline shortened from 5.8 to 4.98.
Trade Wave Analysis
### Wave 1 — Minute 44' (Score: 1-1) **Context:** Level at 1-1, 44'. 1 model (oddsflow_core_v8.1) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Tianjin Teda +0.5. Average expected value was 15.6%, with a combined stake of $293. The sharpest edge was on Tianjin Teda +0.5 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 63.3% probability versus the market's implied 53.8% — a 9.5 percentage point gap at odds of 1.86. **Result:** All 3 trades lost, netting $-293.00.
Model Performance
- **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 3 trades, 0W/3L, $-293.00 (ROI: -100.0%)
Match Statistics
Possession was 46–54 in Tianjin Teda's deficit. Tianjin Teda had 10 shots (3 on target) versus Chengdu Better City's 12 (5 on target). Corners: 2-5.
Verdict
A tough session at -100.0% ROI. The market moved against OddsFlow's positions, though the underlying probability assessments may still prove correct over a larger sample.
A tough session at -100.0% ROI. The market moved against OddsFlow's positions.
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