Sichuan Jiuniu

3 - 2

Qingdao Jonoon

Sichuan Jiuniu hosted Qingdao Jonoon in the Super League, finishing 3-2. Goals: Wesley Moraes (13'), Wesley Moraes (69'), Yang Cong (81'), Wesley Moraes (90'), M. Edjouma (90' pen). Qingdao Jonoon received a red card (, 60'). OddsFlow deployed 6 trades across 4 waves, achieving 50% precision with a net result of +$2600.75 (ROI: +66.0%).

The Asian Handicap line moved from -0.25 to -0.5; the Over/Under line shifted from 2.5 to 2.75; the home moneyline shortened from 2.17 to 1.93.

### Wave 1 — Minute 0' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 0'. 1 model (S5.1_Pre) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Qingdao Jonoon -0.5. Average expected value was 14.2%, with a combined stake of $10. The sharpest edge was on Qingdao Jonoon -0.5 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 58.6% probability versus the market's implied 51.3% — a 7.3 percentage point gap at odds of 1.95. **Result:** All 1 trades lost, netting $-10.00. ### Wave 2 — Minute 10' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 10'. 1 model (oddsflow_core_v8.1) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Qingdao Jonoon 0. Average expected value was 21.9%, with a combined stake of $200. The sharpest edge was on Qingdao Jonoon 0 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 62.9% probability versus the market's implied 43.5% — a 19.5 percentage point gap at odds of 2.3. **Result:** All 1 trades lost, netting $-200.00. ### Wave 3 — Minute 35' (Score: 1-0) **Context:** Sichuan Jiuniu leading 1-0 at 35'. 3 models (system4_BLEND_v10, system4_HYBRID_v10, system4_MC_v10) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Qingdao Jonoon -1. Average expected value was 44.1%, with a combined stake of $3230. The sharpest edge was on Qingdao Jonoon -1 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 91.1% probability versus the market's implied 49.4% — a 41.7 percentage point gap at odds of 2.025. **Result:** All 3 trades won, netting +$3310.75. ### Wave 4 — Minute 59' (Score: 1-0) **Context:** Sichuan Jiuniu leading 1-0 at 59'. 1 model (system4_BLEND_v10) entered Over/Under markets, targeting Under 2.5. Average expected value was 7.6%, with a combined stake of $500. **Result:** All 1 trades lost, netting $-500.00.

- **Minute 35'** — Asian Handicap Qingdao Jonoon -1: AI saw 91.1% vs market's 49.4% (41.7pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 35'** — Asian Handicap Qingdao Jonoon -1: AI saw 91.0% vs market's 49.4% (41.6pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 35'** — Asian Handicap Qingdao Jonoon -1: AI saw 90.5% vs market's 49.4% (41.1pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 10'** — Asian Handicap Qingdao Jonoon 0: AI saw 62.9% vs market's 43.5% (19.5pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real.

- **system4_HYBRID_v10**: 1 trades, 1W/0L, +$1109.05 (ROI: +102.5%) - **system4_MC_v10**: 1 trades, 1W/0L, +$1105.97 (ROI: +102.5%) - **system4_BLEND_v10**: 2 trades, 1W/1L, +$595.72 (ROI: +38.0%) - **S5.1_Pre**: 1 trades, 0W/1L, $-10.00 (ROI: -100.0%) - **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 1 trades, 0W/1L, $-200.00 (ROI: -100.0%)

Possession was 47–53 in Sichuan Jiuniu's deficit. Sichuan Jiuniu had 16 shots (5 on target) versus Qingdao Jonoon's 9 (4 on target). Corners: 9-3.