Sichuan Jiuniu

1 - 1

Dalian Zhixing

Sichuan Jiuniu hosted Dalian Zhixing in the Super League, finishing 1-1. Goals: C. Malele (28' pen), M. Traore (30' OG). OddsFlow deployed 19 trades across 5 waves, achieving 37% precision with a net result of +$1208.95 (ROI: +26.5%).

The Asian Handicap held at 0 but home odds shifted from 1.98 to 1.92; the home moneyline shortened from 2.76 to 2.65.

### Wave 1 — Minute 0' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 0'. 1 model (S5.1_Pre) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Sichuan Jiuniu 0. Average expected value was 18.2%, with a combined stake of $10. **Result:** 0 of 1 trades won, netting +$0.00. ### Wave 2 — Minute 10' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 10'. 1 model (oddsflow_core_v8.1) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Sichuan Jiuniu -0.5. Average expected value was 13.5%, with a combined stake of $200. The sharpest edge was on Sichuan Jiuniu -0.5 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 48.6% probability versus the market's implied 37.4% — a 11.3 percentage point gap at odds of 2.675. **Result:** All 1 trades lost, netting $-200.00. ### Wave 3 — Minute 46' (Score: 1-1) **Context:** Level at 1-1, 46'. 2 models (system4_MC_v10, system4_BLEND_v10) entered Moneyline markets, targeting Sichuan Jiuniu. Average expected value was 13.3%, with a combined stake of $1132. The sharpest edge was on Sichuan Jiuniu (Moneyline): OddsFlow calculated 39.1% probability versus the market's implied 30.8% — a 8.4 percentage point gap at odds of 3.25. **Result:** All 6 trades lost, netting $-1132.00. ### Wave 4 — Minute 50' (Score: 1-1) **Context:** Level at 1-1, 50'. 2 models (system4_BLEND_v10, system4_MC_v10) entered Over/Under markets, targeting Under 3.5. Average expected value was 9.3%, with a combined stake of $1000. The sharpest edge was on Under 3.5 (Over/Under): OddsFlow calculated 63.5% probability versus the market's implied 57.9% — a 5.6 percentage point gap at odds of 1.727. **Result:** All 2 trades won, netting +$727.00. ### Wave 5 — Minute 55' (Score: 1-1) **Context:** Level at 1-1, 55'. 2 models (system4_BLEND_v10, system4_MC_v10) entered Asian Handicap and Moneyline markets, targeting Dalian Zhixing 0 and Draw. Average expected value was 11.1%, with a combined stake of $2215. The sharpest edge was on Draw (Moneyline): OddsFlow calculated 45.2% probability versus the market's implied 37.6% — a 7.6 percentage point gap at odds of 2.66. **Result:** 5 of 9 trades won, netting +$1813.95.

- **Minute 10'** — Asian Handicap Sichuan Jiuniu -0.5: AI saw 48.6% vs market's 37.4% (11.3pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real.

- **system4_MC_v10**: 9 trades, 4W/3L/2V, +$714.95 (ROI: +32.8%) - **system4_BLEND_v10**: 8 trades, 3W/3L/2V, +$694.00 (ROI: +32.1%) - **S5.1_Pre**: 1 trades, 0W/0L/1V, +$0.00 (ROI: +0.0%) - **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 1 trades, 0W/1L, $-200.00 (ROI: -100.0%)

Possession was 61–39 in Sichuan Jiuniu's favor. Sichuan Jiuniu had 13 shots (1 on target) versus Dalian Zhixing's 14 (5 on target). Corners: 7-7.