Shenyang Urban

2 - 1

Qingdao Jonoon

Shenyang Urban hosted Qingdao Jonoon in the Super League, finishing 2-1. Goals: G. Mbenza (34'), Y. Yeboah (57'), G. Mbenza (81'). OddsFlow deployed 31 trades across 6 waves, achieving 45% precision with a net result of +$2468.27 (ROI: +17.9%).

The Asian Handicap line moved from 0 to -0.5; the Over/Under line shifted from 2.5 to 2.75; the home moneyline shortened from 2.51 to 1.97.

### Wave 1 — Minute 14' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 14'. 1 model (oddsflow_core_v8.1) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Qingdao Jonoon -0.5. Average expected value was 43.5%, with a combined stake of $350. The sharpest edge was on Qingdao Jonoon -0.5 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 75.8% probability versus the market's implied 49.3% — a 26.5 percentage point gap at odds of 2.03. **Result:** All 3 trades lost, netting $-350.00. ### Wave 2 — Minute 35' (Score: 1-0) **Context:** Shenyang Urban leading 1-0 at 35'. G. Mbenza scored moments ago. 2 models (system4_BLEND_v10, system4_MC_v10) entered Asian Handicap and Moneyline and Over/Under markets, targeting Qingdao Jonoon -0.5 and Qingdao Jonoon and Over 2.75 and Qingdao Jonoon -1 and Over 2.5 and Qingdao Jonoon -1.5. Average expected value was 34.2%, with a combined stake of $7399. The sharpest edge was on Qingdao Jonoon -1 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 94.3% probability versus the market's implied 42.6% — a 51.8 percentage point gap at odds of 2.35. **Result:** 12 of 14 trades won, netting +$5579.98. ### Wave 3 — Minute 45' (Score: 1-0) **Context:** Shenyang Urban leading 1-0 at 45'. 1 model (system4_MC_v10) entered Moneyline markets, targeting Draw. Average expected value was 5.1%, with a combined stake of $500. The sharpest edge was on Draw (Moneyline): OddsFlow calculated 28.5% probability versus the market's implied 20.0% — a 8.5 percentage point gap at odds of 5. **Result:** All 1 trades lost, netting $-500.00. ### Wave 4 — Minute 48' (Score: 1-0) **Context:** Shenyang Urban leading 1-0 at 48'. 1 model (system4_HYBRID_v10) entered Over/Under and Asian Handicap and Moneyline markets, targeting Over 2.5 and Qingdao Jonoon -1 and Draw. Average expected value was 24.5%, with a combined stake of $1896. The sharpest edge was on Qingdao Jonoon -1 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 95.2% probability versus the market's implied 37.4% — a 57.8 percentage point gap at odds of 2.675. **Result:** 2 of 3 trades won, netting +$1364.30. ### Wave 5 — Minute 58' (Score: 1-1) **Context:** Level at 1-1 after Y. Yeboah's equalizer at 57'. 3 models (system4_MC_v10, system4_HYBRID_v10, system4_BLEND_v10) entered Asian Handicap and Over/Under and Moneyline markets, targeting Qingdao Jonoon 0 and Over 3.5 and Qingdao Jonoon. Average expected value was 32.0%, with a combined stake of $3126. The sharpest edge was on Qingdao Jonoon 0 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 77.7% probability versus the market's implied 36.4% — a 41.3 percentage point gap at odds of 2.75. **Result:** All 9 trades lost, netting $-3126.00. ### Wave 6 — Minute 73' (Score: 1-1) **Context:** Level at 1-1, 73'. 1 model (system4_BLEND_v10) entered Moneyline markets, targeting Draw. Average expected value was 4.6%, with a combined stake of $500. **Result:** All 1 trades lost, netting $-500.00.

- **Minute 48'** — Asian Handicap Qingdao Jonoon -1: AI saw 95.2% vs market's 37.4% (57.8pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 36'** — Asian Handicap Qingdao Jonoon -1: AI saw 94.3% vs market's 42.6% (51.8pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 36'** — Asian Handicap Qingdao Jonoon -1: AI saw 94.1% vs market's 42.6% (51.6pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 58'** — Asian Handicap Qingdao Jonoon 0: AI saw 77.7% vs market's 36.4% (41.3pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real. - **Minute 58'** — Asian Handicap Qingdao Jonoon 0: AI saw 77.3% vs market's 36.4% (41.0pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real.

- **system4_BLEND_v10**: 11 trades, 4W/5L/2V, +$1721.63 (ROI: +32.6%) - **system4_MC_v10**: 10 trades, 4W/4L/2V, +$1293.35 (ROI: +27.6%) - **system4_HYBRID_v10**: 7 trades, 2W/5L, $-196.70 (ROI: -5.7%) - **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 3 trades, 0W/3L, $-350.00 (ROI: -100.0%)

Possession was 51–49 in Shenyang Urban's favor. Shenyang Urban had 17 shots (8 on target) versus Qingdao Jonoon's 9 (3 on target). Corners: 4-0.