SHANGHAI SIPG

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Tianjin Teda

SHANGHAI SIPG hosted Tianjin Teda in the Super League, finishing 1-1. Goals: Leonardo (52'), Xadas (77' pen). OddsFlow deployed 18 trades across 5 waves, achieving 61% precision with a net result of +$6812.85 (ROI: +85.1%).

The Asian Handicap held at -0.75 but home odds shifted from 1.87 to 1.88; the Over/Under line shifted from 2.5 to 2.75.

### Wave 1 — Minute 0' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 0'. 1 model (S5.1_Pre) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting SHANGHAI SIPG -0.75. Average expected value was 8.0%, with a combined stake of $25. **Result:** All 2 trades lost, netting $-25.00. ### Wave 2 — Minute 10' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 10'. 1 model (oddsflow_core_v8.1) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting SHANGHAI SIPG -0.5. Average expected value was 4.9%, with a combined stake of $200. **Result:** All 1 trades lost, netting $-200.00. ### Wave 3 — Minute 48' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 48'. 1 model (system4_BLEND_v10) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Tianjin Teda -0.5. Average expected value was 5.3%, with a combined stake of $565. **Result:** All 3 trades won, netting +$426.35. ### Wave 4 — Minute 51' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 51'. 2 models (system4_MC_v10, system4_BLEND_v10) entered Moneyline and Over/Under and Asian Handicap markets, targeting Draw and Under 2.25 and Tianjin Teda -1 and Under 2.5. Average expected value was 34.4%, with a combined stake of $5214. The sharpest edge was on Tianjin Teda -1 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 85.5% probability versus the market's implied 41.2% — a 44.3 percentage point gap at odds of 2.425. **Result:** All 8 trades won, netting +$7611.50. ### Wave 5 — Minute 77' (Score: 1-0) **Context:** SHANGHAI SIPG leading 1-0 at 77'. Xadas scored moments ago. 2 models (system4_BLEND_v10, system4_MC_v10) entered Moneyline and Asian Handicap markets, targeting SHANGHAI SIPG and Tianjin Teda 0. Average expected value was 38.0%, with a combined stake of $2000. The sharpest edge was on Tianjin Teda 0 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 80.5% probability versus the market's implied 37.4% — a 43.2 percentage point gap at odds of 2.675. **Result:** 0 of 4 trades won, netting $-1000.00.

- **Minute 51'** — Asian Handicap Tianjin Teda -1: AI saw 85.5% vs market's 41.2% (44.3pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 51'** — Asian Handicap Tianjin Teda -1: AI saw 85.2% vs market's 41.2% (43.9pp gap). correctly identified. - **Minute 78'** — Asian Handicap Tianjin Teda 0: AI saw 80.5% vs market's 37.4% (43.2pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real. - **Minute 78'** — Asian Handicap Tianjin Teda 0: AI saw 80.3% vs market's 37.4% (42.9pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real. - **Minute 78'** — Moneyline SHANGHAI SIPG: AI saw 80.3% vs market's 45.5% (34.9pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real.

- **system4_BLEND_v10**: 9 trades, 6W/1L/2V, +$3727.88 (ROI: +89.7%) - **system4_MC_v10**: 6 trades, 3W/1L/2V, +$3309.98 (ROI: +91.4%) - **S5.1_Pre**: 2 trades, 0W/2L, $-25.00 (ROI: -100.0%) - **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 1 trades, 0W/1L, $-200.00 (ROI: -100.0%)

Possession was 57–43 in SHANGHAI SIPG's favor. SHANGHAI SIPG had 9 shots (4 on target) versus Tianjin Teda's 11 (3 on target). Corners: 4-3.