Olympiakos Piraeus0 - 2Bayer Leverkusen
Olympiakos Piraeus1 trades, 100% precision — how did AI read this match?
Match Overview
Olympiakos Piraeus hosted Bayer Leverkusen in the UEFA Champions League, finishing 0-2. Goals: P. Schick (60'), P. Schick (63'). OddsFlow deployed 1 trades across 1 wave, achieving 100% precision with a net result of +$1832.48 (ROI: +200.0%).
Pre-Match Odds
Pre-match odds showed minimal movement.
Trade Wave Analysis
### Wave 1 — Minute 45' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 45'. 1 model (oddsflow_core_v8.1) entered Moneyline markets, targeting Bayer Leverkusen. Average expected value was 14.7%, with a combined stake of $916. **Result:** All 1 trades won, netting +$1832.48.
Model Performance
- **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 1 trades, 1W/0L, +$1832.48 (ROI: +200.0%)
Match Statistics
Possession was 43%–57% in Olympiakos Piraeus's deficit. Olympiakos Piraeus had 13 shots (1 on target) versus Bayer Leverkusen's 8 (5 on target). Expected goals: Olympiakos Piraeus 0.87 — Bayer Leverkusen 1.95. Corners: 3-3.
Verdict
A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +200.0% ROI.
What the closing market expected
The prices bookmakers settled on before kick-off, with the margin removed, next to what actually happened.
| Market | Line | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 (home / draw / away) | Favourite: Home | 40.3% / 30.2% / 32.1% |
| Asian handicap | -0.25 | 55.0% |
| Over / Under | 2.5 | 48.3% |
Probabilities are de-vigged, so they describe the market's view rather than the price you would have been offered.
Underestimated Away Win
The UEFA Champions League fixture between Olympiakos Piraeus and Bayer Leverkusen concluded 0-2 in favor of Bayer Leverkusen. Our analysis of the closing lines reveals a notable **Market Inefficiency** in the 1x2 market. Bookmakers assigned a 40.32% implied probability for a home win (Olympiakos) and only 32.15% for an away win (Bayer Leverkusen). This clearly **underestimated** Bayer Leverkusen's capability, as they secured a convincing 2-0 victory, highlighting significant **Closing Line Value** for an away bet. In contrast, the Asian Handicap market proved more efficient, correctly favoring Bayer Leverkusen to cover the -0.25 line with a 54.95% probability, which they comfortably achieved. Similarly, the Totals market was also efficient, accurately leaning towards **Under 2.5 goals** with a 54.05% probability, as the match finished with precisely two goals. The primary **Value Signal** was the mispricing of the outright away win.
A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +200.0% ROI on 1 trades.
See AI signals as they happen
This report shows settled results. Get real-time AI signals during live matches.