Gornik Zabrze vs Fenerbahçe
1 - 1
Gornik ZabrzeWhat the closing market expected
The prices bookmakers settled on before kick-off, with the margin removed, next to what actually happened.
| Market | Line | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 (home / draw / away) | Favourite: Away | 0.2% / 0.2% / 0.7% |
| Asian handicap | +1 | 0.5% |
| Over / Under | 2.5 | 0.6% |
Probabilities are de-vigged, so they describe the market's view rather than the price you would have been offered.
Under 2.5 Goals was a significant value signal.
The UEFA Champions League fixture between Gornik Zabrze and Fenerbahçe concluded in a 1-1 draw, a result that exposed notable market inefficiencies. The 1x2 market heavily priced Fenerbahçe as the market favorite with a 65.36% implied probability for an away win, yet the match ended in a draw, an outcome with only a 23.81% probability. In the Asian Handicap market, with a line of 1, Gornik Zabrze (+1) easily covered, despite Fenerbahçe (-1) being the favored side to cover. The most pronounced mispricing, however, occurred in the Goals Over/Under market. The closing line of 2.5 goals saw a significant market lean towards the Over (57.8% implied probability), but the actual total of 2 goals meant the Under was the correct outcome, representing clear Closing Line Value (CLV) for Under bettors. This match underscores how the OddsFlow model identifies discrepancies where bookmakers 'got it wrong' on total goals.
No entry signals — model found no valuable odds
Our AI analyzed Asian Handicap and Over/Under markets in real-time but did not detect sufficient edge.
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