SC Freiburg

3 - 3

Bayer Leverkusen

SC Freiburg hosted Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga, finishing 3-3. Goals: V. Grifo (34'), C. Kofane (37'), Y. Suzuki (43'), A. Grimaldo (45'), M. Terrier (52'), M. Ginter (86'). OddsFlow deployed 2 trades across 2 waves, achieving 50% precision with a net result of $-990.80 (ROI: -77.2%).

The Asian Handicap held at 0.25 but home odds shifted from 1.88 to 1.84; the home moneyline shortened from 3.14 to 3.02.

### Wave 1 — Minute 25' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 25'. 1 model (oddsflow_core_v8.1) entered Moneyline markets, targeting SC Freiburg. Average expected value was 18.2%, with a combined stake of $1083. The sharpest edge was on SC Freiburg (Moneyline): OddsFlow calculated 38.1% probability versus the market's implied 32.3% — a 5.9 percentage point gap at odds of 3.1. **Result:** All 1 trades lost, netting $-1083.30. ### Wave 2 — Minute 50' (Score: 2-2) **Context:** Level at 2-2 after A. Grimaldo's equalizer at 45'. 1 model (active_trader_v8.1) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting SC Freiburg +0.25. Average expected value was 7.1%, with a combined stake of $200. The sharpest edge was on SC Freiburg +0.25 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 59.1% probability versus the market's implied 51.9% — a 7.1 percentage point gap at odds of 1.925. **Result:** All 1 trades won, netting +$92.50.

- **active_trader_v8.1**: 1 trades, 0W/0L/1V, +$92.50 (ROI: +46.3%) - **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 1 trades, 0W/1L, $-1083.30 (ROI: -100.0%)

Possession was 47%–53% in SC Freiburg's deficit. SC Freiburg had 21 shots (9 on target) versus Bayer Leverkusen's 17 (5 on target). Expected goals: SC Freiburg 2.41 — Bayer Leverkusen 2. Corners: 4-2.