Eintracht Frankfurt2 - 0SC Freiburg
Eintracht Frankfurt1 trades, 100% precision — how did AI read this match?
Match Overview
Eintracht Frankfurt hosted SC Freiburg in the Bundesliga, finishing 2-0. Goals: F. Chaibi (64'), J. Bahoya (81'). OddsFlow deployed 1 trades across 1 wave, achieving 100% precision with a net result of +$200.00 (ROI: +100.0%).
Pre-Match Odds
The Asian Handicap held at -0.25 but home odds shifted from 1.98 to 1.87; the Over/Under line shifted from 2.75 to 2.5; the home moneyline shortened from 2.28 to 2.15.
Trade Wave Analysis
### Wave 1 — Minute 33' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 33'. 1 model (oddsflow_core_v8.1) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Eintracht Frankfurt -0.25. Average expected value was 2.5%, with a combined stake of $200. **Result:** All 1 trades won, netting +$200.00.
Model Performance
- **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 1 trades, 1W/0L, +$200.00 (ROI: +100.0%)
Match Statistics
Possession was 63%–37% in Eintracht Frankfurt's favor. Eintracht Frankfurt had 14 shots (7 on target) versus SC Freiburg's 4 (2 on target). Expected goals: Eintracht Frankfurt 1.05 — SC Freiburg 0.55. Corners: 5-5.
Verdict
A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +100.0% ROI.
What the closing market expected
The prices bookmakers settled on before kick-off, with the margin removed, next to what actually happened.
| Market | Line | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 (home / draw / away) | Favourite: Home | 46.5% / 27.9% / 28.6% |
| Asian handicap | -0.25 | 53.5% |
| Over / Under | 2.5 | 53.8% |
Probabilities are de-vigged, so they describe the market's view rather than the price you would have been offered.
The Over/Under 2.5 market leaned heavily towards Over, despite the match finishing with only 2 goals, presenting significant EV+ for Under.
Eintracht Frankfurt secured a 2-0 victory over SC Freiburg in the Bundesliga. The 1x2 market correctly identified Eintracht Frankfurt as the favorite (46.51% win probability), and they delivered. On the Asian Handicap, Frankfurt also successfully covered the -0.25 line with a 53.48% probability. However, the most notable market inefficiency was observed in the Totals market. Despite the closing line showing a strong lean towards Over 2.5 goals (53.76% probability), the match concluded with only 2 goals. This outcome highlights a significant EV+ signal for betting Under 2.5 goals, demonstrating where bookmakers got it wrong and indicating a clear value bet detected by the OddsFlow model.
A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +100.0% ROI on 1 trades.
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