Eintracht Frankfurt3 - 0Borussia Mönchengladbach
Eintracht FrankfurtWhat went wrong? 1 trades, $-57 — the AI's post-mortem.
Match Overview
Eintracht Frankfurt hosted Borussia Mönchengladbach in the Bundesliga, finishing 3-0. Goals: N. Brown (24'), N. Brown (25'), A. Amaimouni (34'), A. Knauff (75'). OddsFlow deployed 1 trades across 1 wave, achieving 0% precision with a net result of $-57.35 (ROI: -100.0%).
Pre-Match Odds
The Asian Handicap held at -0.5 but home odds shifted from 1.98 to 2.06; the Over/Under line shifted from 2.75 to 2.5.
Trade Wave Analysis
### Wave 1 — Minute 60' (Score: 2-0) **Context:** Eintracht Frankfurt leading 2-0 at 60'. 1 model (oddsflow_core_v8.1) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Borussia Mönchengladbach -0.25. Average expected value was 2.1%, with a combined stake of $57. **Result:** All 1 trades lost, netting $-57.35.
Model Performance
- **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 1 trades, 0W/1L, $-57.35 (ROI: -100.0%)
Match Statistics
Possession was 44%–56% in Eintracht Frankfurt's deficit. Eintracht Frankfurt had 11 shots (8 on target) versus Borussia Mönchengladbach's 20 (3 on target). Expected goals: Eintracht Frankfurt 1.79 — Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.18. Corners: 1-7.
Verdict
A tough session at -100.0% ROI. The market moved against OddsFlow's positions, though the underlying probability assessments may still prove correct over a larger sample.
What the closing market expected
The prices bookmakers settled on before kick-off, with the margin removed, next to what actually happened.
| Market | Line | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 (home / draw / away) | Favourite: Home | 0.5% / 0.3% / 0.3% |
| Asian handicap | -0.5 | 0.5% |
| Over / Under | 2.5 | 0.5% |
Probabilities are de-vigged, so they describe the market's view rather than the price you would have been offered.
The Asian Handicap market significantly underestimated Eintracht Frankfurt's dominant win potential.
Eintracht Frankfurt secured a commanding 3-0 victory over Borussia Mönchengladbach. In the 1x2 market, Frankfurt was correctly identified as the favorite (48.78% implied probability). The Totals (O/U 2.5) market leaned slightly towards the Over (52.36% probability), which proved accurate with 3 goals scored. However, the most notable inefficiency emerged in the Asian Handicap market. Despite Frankfurt winning by a significant 3-goal margin and comfortably covering the -0.5 line, the market showed a slight preference for Borussia Mönchengladbach +0.5 (53.19%). This indicates a clear market underestimation of Eintracht Frankfurt's ability to secure a dominant victory, representing significant Closing Line Value (CLV) on Frankfurt -0.5.
A tough session at -100.0% ROI. The market moved against OddsFlow's positions.
See AI signals as they happen
This report shows settled results. Get real-time AI signals during live matches.