Gremio0 - 1Flamengo
Gremio1 trades, 100% precision — how did AI read this match?
Match Overview
Gremio hosted Flamengo in the Brazilian Serie A, finishing 0-1. Goals: J. Carrascal (68'). OddsFlow deployed 1 trades across 1 wave, achieving 100% precision with a net result of +$1114.26 (ROI: +98.0%).
Pre-Match Odds
The Asian Handicap held at 0.5 but home odds shifted from 1.87 to 1.91; the Over/Under stayed at 2.25 with Over odds moving from 1.83 to 1.9; the home moneyline drifted out from 3.9 to 4.16.
Trade Wave Analysis
### Wave 1 — Minute 0' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 0'. 1 model (S5.1_Pre) entered Over/Under markets, targeting Under 2.25. Average expected value was 44.6%, with a combined stake of $1137. The sharpest edge was on Under 2.25 (Over/Under): OddsFlow calculated 66.6% probability versus the market's implied 50.5% — a 16.1 percentage point gap at odds of 1.98. **Result:** All 1 trades won, netting +$1114.26.
Key Mispricing Moments
- **Minute 0'** — Over/Under Under 2.25: AI saw 66.6% vs market's 50.5% (16.1pp gap). correctly identified.
Model Performance
- **S5.1_Pre**: 1 trades, 1W/0L, +$1114.26 (ROI: +98.0%)
Match Statistics
Possession was 32–68 in Gremio's deficit. Gremio had 6 shots (3 on target) versus Flamengo's 19 (5 on target). Expected goals: Gremio 0.26 — Flamengo 2.17. Corners: 0-6.
Verdict
A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +98.0% ROI.
A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +98.0% ROI on 1 trades.
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