Flamengo0 - 3Palmeiras
FlamengoWhy did AI enter 2 times at 0', 10' — and still finish +$255?
Match Overview
Flamengo hosted Palmeiras in the Brazilian Serie A, finishing 0-3. Goals: J. Lopez (38'), Allan Elias (57'), Paulinho (90'). Flamengo received a red card (J. Carrascal, 21'). OddsFlow deployed 4 trades across 2 waves, achieving 75% precision with a net result of +$255.45 (ROI: +92.9%).
Pre-Match Odds
The Asian Handicap line moved from -0.5 to -0.75.
Trade Wave Analysis
### Wave 1 — Minute 0' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 0'. 1 model (S5.1_Pre) entered Over/Under markets, targeting Under 2.25. Average expected value was 24.7%, with a combined stake of $10. The sharpest edge was on Under 2.25 (Over/Under): OddsFlow calculated 54.8% probability versus the market's implied 49.3% — a 5.5 percentage point gap at odds of 2.03. **Result:** All 1 trades lost, netting $-10.00. ### Wave 2 — Minute 10' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 10'. 1 model (oddsflow_core_v8.1) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Palmeiras -0.5. Average expected value was 8.0%, with a combined stake of $265. **Result:** All 3 trades won, netting +$265.45.
Model Performance
- **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 3 trades, 3W/0L, +$265.45 (ROI: +100.2%) - **S5.1_Pre**: 1 trades, 0W/1L, $-10.00 (ROI: -100.0%)
Match Statistics
Possession was 48–52 in Flamengo's deficit. Flamengo had 22 shots (3 on target) versus Palmeiras's 12 (6 on target). Expected goals: Flamengo 1.14 — Palmeiras 0.83. Corners: 8-4.
Verdict
A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +92.9% ROI. Top performer: oddsflow_core_v8.1 at +$265.45.
A highly profitable match for OddsFlow. The AI models identified significant mispricings and converted them efficiently, returning +92.9% ROI on 4 trades. Top performer: Oddsflow Core Strategy at +$265.45.
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