Corinthians

3 - 0

Remo

Corinthians hosted Remo in the Brazilian Serie A, finishing 3-0. Goals: Yuri Alberto (26'), Yuri Alberto (27'), Yuri Alberto (40'), Kaio Cesar (40'), Yuri Alberto (45'). OddsFlow deployed 18 trades across 4 waves, achieving 17% precision with a net result of $-2771.00 (ROI: -48.0%).

The Asian Handicap held at -1 but home odds shifted from 2.02 to 1.88; the Over/Under stayed at 2.5 with Over odds moving from 2 to 1.95.

### Wave 1 — Minute 10' (Score: 0-0) **Context:** Scoreless at 10'. 1 model (oddsflow_core_v8.1) entered Asian Handicap markets, targeting Remo -1. Average expected value was 51.7%, with a combined stake of $350. The sharpest edge was on Remo -1 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 83.9% probability versus the market's implied 51.8% — a 32.0 percentage point gap at odds of 1.93. **Result:** All 3 trades lost, netting $-350.00. ### Wave 2 — Minute 35' (Score: 1-0) **Context:** Corinthians leading 1-0 at 35'. 2 models (system4_BLEND_v10, system4_MC_v10) entered Asian Handicap and Over/Under markets, targeting Remo -0.5 and Under 2.5. Average expected value was 35.2%, with a combined stake of $2604. The sharpest edge was on Remo -0.5 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 74.2% probability versus the market's implied 48.1% — a 26.1 percentage point gap at odds of 2.08. **Result:** All 8 trades lost, netting $-2604.00. ### Wave 3 — Minute 38' (Score: 1-0) **Context:** Corinthians leading 1-0 at 38'. 1 model (system4_HYBRID_v10) entered Asian Handicap and Over/Under markets, targeting Remo -0.5 and Under 2.5. Average expected value was 37.7%, with a combined stake of $1317. The sharpest edge was on Remo -0.5 (Asian Handicap): OddsFlow calculated 74.8% probability versus the market's implied 47.8% — a 26.9 percentage point gap at odds of 2.09. **Result:** All 4 trades lost, netting $-1317.00. ### Wave 4 — Minute 41' (Score: 2-0) **Context:** Corinthians leading 2-0 at 41'. Kaio Cesar scored moments ago. 3 models (system4_MC_v10, system4_HYBRID_v10, system4_BLEND_v10) entered Over/Under markets, targeting Under 3.5. Average expected value was 14.9%, with a combined stake of $1500. The sharpest edge was on Under 3.5 (Over/Under): OddsFlow calculated 63.2% probability versus the market's implied 50.0% — a 13.2 percentage point gap at odds of 2. **Result:** All 3 trades won, netting +$1500.00.

- **Minute 10'** — Asian Handicap Remo -1: AI saw 83.9% vs market's 51.8% (32.0pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real. - **Minute 10'** — Asian Handicap Remo -1: AI saw 83.9% vs market's 52.4% (31.5pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real. - **Minute 10'** — Asian Handicap Remo -1: AI saw 83.9% vs market's 52.6% (31.2pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real. - **Minute 38'** — Asian Handicap Remo -0.5: AI saw 74.8% vs market's 47.8% (26.9pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real. - **Minute 38'** — Asian Handicap Remo -0.5: AI saw 74.8% vs market's 48.1% (26.7pp gap). did not convert, but edge was real.

- **oddsflow_core_v8.1**: 3 trades, 0W/3L, $-350.00 (ROI: -100.0%) - **system4_MC_v10**: 5 trades, 1W/4L, $-801.00 (ROI: -44.5%) - **system4_BLEND_v10**: 5 trades, 1W/4L, $-803.00 (ROI: -44.5%) - **system4_HYBRID_v10**: 5 trades, 1W/4L, $-817.00 (ROI: -45.0%)

Possession was 56–44 in Corinthians's favor. Corinthians had 15 shots (7 on target) versus Remo's 4 (0 on target). Expected goals: Corinthians 1.67 — Remo 0.17. Corners: 3-4.