Full Time
Bundesliga · WWK Arena, Augsburg · 2026-03-22

FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
2 - 5
VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart

$-2864.20
Match Precision33%
Signal Hit Rate3/9
Model Lineup
🔮
Oddsflow Beta
$-886
☆☆☆☆
1W-2L · 33%
🎯
HDP Sniper
$-902
☆☆☆☆
1W-2L · 33%
Active Trader
$-1076
☆☆☆☆
1W-2L · 33%
🧠 Key Question

Apa yang salah? 9 trade, $-2864 — analisis post-mortem AI.

Trade Story

Ringkasan Pertandingan

FC Augsburg menjamu VfB Stuttgart di Bundesliga, skor akhir 2-5. Gol: D. Undav (12'), T. Tomas (29'), N. Nartey (31'), F. Rieder (57'), D. Undav (58'), A. Kade (71'), A. Kade (72'), E. Demirovic (83'). OddsFlow menjalankan 9 trade dalam 1 gelombang, akurasi 33%, hasil bersih $-2864.20 (ROI: -40.4%).

Odds Pra-Pertandingan

Lini Handicap Asia bergerak dari 0.5 ke 0.25; Odds tuan rumah turun dari 3.58 ke 3.41.

Analisis Gelombang Trading

### Gelombang 1 — Menit 25' (Skor: 0-1) **Konteks:** VfB Stuttgart leading 0-1 at 25'. 3 model memasuki pasar Handicap Asia & Hasil Pertandingan, target FC Augsburg +1.5 & VfB Stuttgart & FC Augsburg +0.5. EV rata-rata 25.4%, total taruhan $7085. Edge terbesar pada FC Augsburg +1.5 (Handicap Asia): OddsFlow menghitung 88.0% vs pasar 57.1% — selisih 30.9pp pada odds 1.75. **Hasil:** 3 dari 9 trade menang, bersih $-2864.20.

Momen Mispricing Utama

- **Menit 25'** — Handicap Asia FC Augsburg +1.5: AI melihat 88.0% vs pasar 57.1% (gap 30.9pp). tidak terkonversi, tapi edge nyata. - **Menit 25'** — Handicap Asia FC Augsburg +1.5: AI melihat 87.5% vs pasar 57.1% (gap 30.4pp). tidak terkonversi, tapi edge nyata. - **Menit 25'** — Handicap Asia FC Augsburg +1.5: AI melihat 87.5% vs pasar 57.1% (gap 30.3pp). tidak terkonversi, tapi edge nyata. - **Menit 27'** — Hasil Pertandingan VfB Stuttgart: AI melihat 74.7% vs pasar 52.4% (gap 22.3pp). teridentifikasi dengan benar. - **Menit 27'** — Hasil Pertandingan VfB Stuttgart: AI melihat 74.2% vs pasar 52.4% (gap 21.8pp). teridentifikasi dengan benar.

Performa Model

- **Oddsflow Beta**: 3 trade, 1W/2L, $-886.25 (ROI: -36.6%) - **HDP Sniper**: 3 trade, 1W/2L, $-901.89 (ROI: -37.4%) - **Active Trader**: 3 trade, 1W/2L, $-1076.06 (ROI: -47.8%)

Statistik Pertandingan

Penguasaan bola 40%–60%, FC Augsburg tertinggal. FC Augsburg punya 13 tembakan (7 tepat sasaran), VfB Stuttgart 13 (8 tepat sasaran). Expected goals: FC Augsburg 1.2 — VfB Stuttgart 3.77.

Kesimpulan

Sesi sulit dengan ROI -40.4%. Pasar bergerak melawan posisi OddsFlow. Performa terbaik: Oddsflow Beta dengan $-886.25.

Trade Waves
Match Timeline
46'🔄
R
R. Ribeiro(assist: M. Gregoritsch)FC Augsburg
46'🔄
B
N. Banks(assist: Arthur Chaves)FC Augsburg
46'🔄
R
E. Rexhbecaj(assist: A. Kade)FC Augsburg
47'🔄
R
R. Ribeiro(assist: M. Gregoritsch)FC Augsburg
48'🔄
R
E. Rexhbecaj(assist: A. Kade)FC Augsburg
48'🔄
B
N. Banks(assist: Arthur Chaves)FC Augsburg
65'🔄
M
H. Massengo(assist: K. Jakic)FC Augsburg
70'🔄
A
C. Andres(assist: A. Karazor)VfB Stuttgart
70'🔄
F
C. Fuhrich(assist: R. Hendriks)VfB Stuttgart
71'🔄
A
C. Andres(assist: A. Karazor)VfB Stuttgart
71'🔄
F
C. Fuhrich(assist: R. Hendriks)VfB Stuttgart
81'🔄
A
L. Assignon(assist: J. Vagnoman)VfB Stuttgart
81'🔄
T
T. Tomas(assist: E. Demirovic)VfB Stuttgart
82'🔄
T
T. Tomas(assist: E. Demirovic)VfB Stuttgart
85'🔄
U
D. Undav(assist: Jeremy Arevalo)VfB Stuttgart
86'🔄
G
D. Giannoulis(assist: U. Ogundu)FC Augsburg
86'🔄
U
D. Undav(assist: Jeremy Arevalo)VfB Stuttgart
87'🔄
G
D. Giannoulis(assist: U. Ogundu)FC Augsburg
Odds Movement
Key Mispricing
Match Statistics
Pre-Match Odds
Verdict

A tough session at -40.4% ROI. The market moved against OddsFlow's positions. Top performer: Oddsflow Beta at $-886.25.

See AI signals as they happen

This report shows settled results. Get real-time AI signals during live matches.