## ✅ Post-Match Audit: Liverpool 0-2 Paris Saint Germain 📋 **Pre-Match Read:** Our montecarlo_v1.0 model gave Liverpool a marginal edge at 38.1% vs PSG's 36.4% away win probability. Most likely score was projected at 2-1, with over 2.5 goals carrying a 60.3% probability and an expected total of 3.1 goals. ⚽ **What Actually Happened:** PSG won convincingly at Anfield, 0-2, keeping Liverpool scoreless. Total goals finished at 2 — a low-scoring, controlled away performance. ✅ **Right:** PSG's threat was flagged as genuine value in the pre-match report, with the model identifying their 36.4% away win probability as undervalued against market lines. The competitive, tight nature of the match was also anticipated. ❌ **Wrong:** The model got the winner wrong, backing Liverpool as the slight favorite. The 2-1 predicted scoreline missed badly — no Liverpool goals materialized. The over 2.5 projection at 60.3% was incorrect; the match stayed under with exactly 2 goals. Expected goal total of 3.1 overshot reality by a full goal. 📊 **Accuracy Log:** Winner ❌ | Predicted score ❌ | Over/Under ❌ | Direction of PSG threat ✅ | 9 live signals detected across handicap, moneyline, and over/under markets during play. Full verification data available at: **oddsflow.com/verify/ucl-lfc-psg** 💬 Did PSG's defensive discipline or Liverpool's attacking struggles surprise you more in this result? Drop your take below. 👇 🔍 [View Full Prediction](/en/predictions/2026-04-14/liverpool-vs-paris-saint-germain-1534912) | [Verified Track Record](/en/performance/verification-proof) --- *Post-match verification by OddsFlow — transparent, accountable, evidence-first*