## ✅ Post-Match Audit: Mallorca 2-1 Real Madrid ### 📋 Pre-Match Read Real Madrid arrived as clear favourites. The community expected them to control the game through possession and create chances through the flanks. ### ⚽ What Actually Happened | | Mallorca | Real Madrid | |---|---|---| | Possession | 36% | 64% | | Shots | 6 | 15 | | Shots on Target | 2 | 6 | | xG | 1.22 | 1.19 | | Corners | 6 | 4 | Real Madrid had 64% possession and 15 shots. On the surface, they dominated. But the xG tells a different story — **Mallorca 1.22 vs Real Madrid 1.19**. Mallorca were more clinical with far fewer chances. Morlanes scored in the 41st minute with a long-range strike. A triple substitution at 59' could not change the outcome. The second goal sealed it before a late consolation header. ### ✅ What We Got Right - The community correctly identified this as a difficult away fixture - The tactical analysis flagged that Mallorca's defensive structure could frustrate Real Madrid - The xG data confirms Real Madrid's chances were not as clear-cut as the shot count suggests ### ❌ What We Got Wrong - The pre-match consensus leaned towards a Real Madrid win — the result proved otherwise - Nobody predicted the effectiveness of Mallorca's counter-attacking from set pieces (6 corners won) - The triple substitution at 59' was a sign of desperation that the tactical analysis did not anticipate ### 📊 Verification Log This result goes into the record as: **pre-match favourite lost despite controlling possession**. A classic case where the xG was close but the clinical finishing made the difference. The scoreline was not misleading — Mallorca deserved this. 36% possession, fewer shots, but higher quality chances. 👉 [View the Original AI Prediction](/en/predictions/2026-04-04/mallorca-vs-real-madrid-1391114) 🔍 [Full Verified Track Record](/en/performance/verification-proof) 📈 [AI Performance Dashboard](/en/performance) --- *Verified football predictions — AI predictions La Liga by OddsFlow. Every prediction timestamped before kickoff.* *OddsFlow AI models: HDP Sniper · Active Trader · OddsFlow Core Strategy · OddsFlow Beta*