Will Türkiye advance from the group stage at World Cup 2026?

OddsFlow AI gives Türkiye a 78.7% probability of advancing from the group stage at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. This is based on Dixon-Coles modeling with Monte Carlo simulations across all group-stage scenarios.

Can Türkiye win the 2026 World Cup?

Türkiye has a 2.3% probability of winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup according to OddsFlow AI analysis. The team has an overall rating of 54/100 (Attack: 51, Midfield: 57, Defense: 47, Goalkeeping: 62).

What is Türkiye's overall rating for World Cup 2026?

Türkiye has an AI-generated overall rating of 54/100 for the 2026 World Cup. Breakdown: Attack 51, Midfield 57, Defense 47, Goalkeeping 62. Playing style: Possession-based, Total football, Well-drilled unit.

Who are Türkiye's star players at World Cup 2026?

Türkiye's top players for the 2026 World Cup include: A. Güler (Midfielder, OPR 74, 8G 18A (4055min)); H. Çalhanoğlu (Midfielder, OPR 73, 13G 9A (2582min)); U. Çakır (Goalkeeper, OPR 67, OPR 67); Ç. Söyüncü (Defender, OPR 67, OPR 67); M. Müldür (Defender, OPR 67, 2G 2A (2413min)).

What are Türkiye's strengths and weaknesses?

Strengths: Strong team chemistry, Deep squad rotation. Squad depth score: 88.0, average age: 26.7.

What is Türkiye's full tournament path prediction for World Cup 2026?

Türkiye's tournament path probabilities: Group stage 79.6%, Round of 32 79.6%, Round of 16 43.0%, Quarter-finals 22.3%, Semi-finals 12.0%, Final 5.9%, Champion 2.8%. Based on 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

How strong is Türkiye's squad for World Cup 2026?

Türkiye's Dixon-Coles strength metrics: Attack power 51.3, Midfield control 57.3, Defensive solidity 47.3, GK rating 61.6. Lambda attack 1.65, lambda defense 1.07. Chemistry score 97, squad depth 88. Top scorer: K. Aktürkoğlu (15 goals).

Türkiye — World Cup 2026 AI Analysis (Rating 54/100)

OddsFlow AI Analysis

54الإجمالي

Possession-basedTotal footballWell-drilled unit

⚡الهجوم

⚙️الوسط

🛡️الدفاع

🧤حراسة المرمى

26الحجم

26.7متوسط العمر

62.7متوسط OVR

88.0درجة العمق

54الإجمالي

Possession-basedTotal footballWell-drilled unit

⚡الهجوم

⚙️الوسط

🛡️الدفاع

🧤حراسة المرمى

26الحجم

26.7متوسط العمر

62.7متوسط OVR

88.0درجة العمق

اللاعبون النجوم

A. Güler

Midfielder

8G 18A (4055min)

H. Çalhanoğlu

Midfielder

13G 9A (2582min)

U. Çakır

Goalkeeper

OPR 67

Ç. Söyüncü

Defender

OPR 67

M. Müldür

Defender

2G 2A (2413min)

احتمالات البطولة

2.3%البطلالبطل

2.3%

78.7%التأهل من المجموعةالتأهل من المجموعة

78.7%

نقاط القوة

Strong team chemistry

Deep squad rotation

Manager & Tactical Profile

· Appointed

Tournament Path Forecast

79.6%

Group

79.6%

R32

43.0%

R16

22.3%

12.0%

5.9%

Final

2.8%

Champion

Based on 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Team Strength & Intelligence

ATK

MID

DEF

1.65

λ Attack

1.07

λ Defense

Chemistry

Depth

7.2

Star Gap

26.7

Avg Age

Top Scorer

K. Aktürkoğlu

15 goals

Best Rated

O. Kökçü

7.57

Club Clusters

Galatasaray (6)Fenerbahçe (6)

WC Experience

Appearances2

Best Finish3rd 2002

Last WC2002

Physical Resilience

Avg Mins/Season2,347

FatigueGood recovery — peak physical years

MiamiMODERATE

MonterreyMODERATE

Hot Climate %0%

Cooperation

Score70/100

Total Clubs16

Same-Club Pairs30

Same-League148

Excellent — strong club connections

H2H Matchup Predictions(48)

WinDrawLoss

العراق

0-1▼

55%

25%

20%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 45%BTTS 47%

كوراساو

0-1▼

55%

25%

21%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 44%BTTS 46%

South Korea

0-1▼

55%

25%

21%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 46%BTTS 47%

Iran

0-1▼

54%

25%

21%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 46%BTTS 47%

Cape Verde Islands

0-1▼

54%

24%

22%

xG 1.7 – 1.0O2.5 52%BTTS 53%

هايتي

0-1▼

54%

25%

21%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 44%BTTS 47%

أوزبكستان

0-1▼

54%

26%

21%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 45%BTTS 47%

جنوب أفريقيا

0-1▼

53%

25%

22%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 45%BTTS 46%

قطر

1-1▼

52%

25%

23%

xG 1.6 – 1.0O2.5 49%BTTS 52%

غانا

1-1▼

51%

24%

25%

xG 1.6 – 1.1O2.5 51%BTTS 52%

مصر

1-1▼

50%

24%

26%

xG 1.7 – 1.2O2.5 54%BTTS 56%

تونس

1-1▼

50%

25%

xG 1.6 – 1.0O2.5 48%BTTS 51%

الأردن

1-1▼

49%

26%

25%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 46%BTTS 50%

Bosnia & Herzegovina

1-1▼

49%

24%

27%

xG 1.6 – 1.1O2.5 51%BTTS 52%

بنما

1-1▼

48%

27%

25%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 45%BTTS 49%

اسكتلندا

1-1▼

48%

24%

28%

xG 1.6 – 1.2O2.5 52%BTTS 54%

الإكوادور

1-1▼

47%

26%

27%

xG 1.5 – 1.1O2.5 47%BTTS 50%

النرويج

1-1▼

46%

25%

29%

xG 1.6 – 1.2O2.5 52%BTTS 55%

كندا

1-1▼

46%

24%

30%

xG 1.6 – 1.2O2.5 53%BTTS 55%

Ivory Coast

1-1▼

45%

26%

29%

xG 1.5 – 1.2O2.5 50%BTTS 53%

المغرب

1-1▼

45%

27%

28%

xG 1.5 – 1.1O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

أستراليا

1-1▼

45%

25%

30%

xG 1.5 – 1.1O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

أمريكا

1-1▼

45%

26%

30%

xG 1.5 – 1.2O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

كولومبيا

1-1▼

45%

26%

29%

xG 1.5 – 1.2O2.5 50%BTTS 53%

باراغواي

1-1▼

45%

26%

30%

xG 1.4 – 1.1O2.5 47%BTTS 51%

المكسيك

1-1▼

44%

25%

31%

xG 1.6 – 1.3O2.5 55%BTTS 57%

نيوزيلندا

1-1▼

44%

26%

30%

xG 1.4 – 1.1O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

السويد

1-1▼

44%

25%

31%

xG 1.4 – 1.1O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

سويسرا

1-1▼

44%

26%

30%

xG 1.5 – 1.2O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

السعودية

1-1▼

44%

26%

30%

xG 1.5 – 1.2O2.5 50%BTTS 54%

الجزائر

1-1▼

44%

25%

32%

xG 1.6 – 1.3O2.5 55%BTTS 58%

الكونغو الديمقراطية

1-1▼

42%

27%

31%

xG 1.3 – 1.1O2.5 43%BTTS 49%

اليابان

1-1▼

42%

25%

33%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

تركيا

1-1▼

42%

26%

32%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

بلجيكا

1-1▼

41%

26%

32%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 48%BTTS 53%

أوروغواي

1-1▼

41%

26%

32%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 48%BTTS 53%

السنغال

1-1▼

41%

26%

33%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 48%BTTS 53%

هولندا

1-1▼

41%

26%

33%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 49%BTTS 54%

كرواتيا

1-1▼

40%

26%

34%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 51%BTTS 56%

Czech Republic

1-1▼

40%

26%

33%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 50%BTTS 55%

البرازيل

1-1▼

40%

26%

34%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 49%BTTS 54%

النمسا

1-1▼

40%

26%

34%

xG 1.3 – 1.2O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

إسبانيا

1-1▼

39%

26%

35%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 50%BTTS 53%

الأرجنتين

1-1▼

39%

27%

34%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 50%BTTS 55%

ألمانيا

1-1▼

39%

27%

35%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 50%BTTS 55%

إنجلترا

1-1▼

35%

26%

39%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

البرتغال

1-1▼

35%

27%

39%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

فرنسا

1-1▼

34%

26%

40%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 51%BTTS 54%

Sensitivity Analysis(51 scenarios)

Rank Distribution Across Scenarios

Travel ×0

▼2

Travel ×0.5

▼2

Travel ×0.25

▼2

Host ×0

▼2

Mismatch t=0.3 a=1.2

▼2

Heat ×1.25

▼1

Heat ×0.25

▼1

Altitude ×1.5

▼1

Travel ×1.25

▼1

Host ×0.5

▼1

Mismatch t=0.15 a=0.7

▼1

Mismatch t=0.2 a=0.9

▼1

Spread 2.5

▼1

Penalty rand=0.3

▼1

Baseline

—

Heat ×1.5

—

Heat ×2.5

—

Heat ×3

—

Heat ×1.75

—

Altitude ×0.75

—

Altitude ×2

—

Altitude ×3

—

Travel ×0.75

—

Spread 1

—

Spread 2.1

—

Uplift 1.15

—

Heat ×0

▲1

Heat ×0.5

▲1

Heat ×2

▲1

Altitude ×0

▲1

Altitude ×0.5

▲1

Altitude ×2.5

▲1

Altitude ×0.25

▲1

Altitude ×1.75

▲1

Mismatch t=0.1 a=0.5

▲1

Spread 1.5

▲1

Spread 3

▲1

Penalty rand=0.5

▲1

Penalty rand=0.7

▲1

Uplift 1

▲1

Heat ×0.75

▲2

Altitude ×1.25

▲2

Travel ×1.5

▲2

Travel ×2

▲2

Travel ×2.5

▲2

Travel ×3

▲2

Travel ×1.75

▲2

Host ×1.5

▲2

Host ×2

▲2

Host ×3

▲2

Mismatch t=0.05 a=0.3

▲2

Baseline: #7·Lower rank = stronger

baseline

1 scenarios · #7

heat

10 scenarios · #6–#9

altitude

10 scenarios · #6–#9

travel

10 scenarios · #5–#9

host

5 scenarios · #5–#9

mismatch

5 scenarios · #5–#9

spread

5 scenarios · #6–#8

penalty

3 scenarios · #6–#8

uplift

2 scenarios · #7–#8

Team Strength & Intelligence

ATK

MID

DEF

1.65

λ Attack

1.07

λ Defense

Chemistry

Depth

7.2

Star Gap

26.7

Avg Age

Top Scorer

K. Aktürkoğlu

15 goals

Best Rated

O. Kökçü

7.57

Club Clusters

Galatasaray (6)Fenerbahçe (6)

WC Experience

Appearances2

Best Finish3rd 2002

Last WC2002

Physical Resilience

Avg Mins/Season2,347

FatigueGood recovery — peak physical years

MiamiMODERATE

MonterreyMODERATE

Hot Climate %0%

Cooperation

Score70/100

Total Clubs16

Same-Club Pairs30

Same-League148

Excellent — strong club connections

H2H Matchup Predictions(48)

WinDrawLoss

العراق

0-1▼

55%

25%

20%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 45%BTTS 47%

كوراساو

0-1▼

55%

25%

21%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 44%BTTS 46%

South Korea

0-1▼

55%

25%

21%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 46%BTTS 47%

Iran

0-1▼

54%

25%

21%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 46%BTTS 47%

Cape Verde Islands

0-1▼

54%

24%

22%

xG 1.7 – 1.0O2.5 52%BTTS 53%

هايتي

0-1▼

54%

25%

21%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 44%BTTS 47%

أوزبكستان

0-1▼

54%

26%

21%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 45%BTTS 47%

جنوب أفريقيا

0-1▼

53%

25%

22%

xG 1.6 – 0.9O2.5 45%BTTS 46%

قطر

1-1▼

52%

25%

23%

xG 1.6 – 1.0O2.5 49%BTTS 52%

غانا

1-1▼

51%

24%

25%

xG 1.6 – 1.1O2.5 51%BTTS 52%

مصر

1-1▼

50%

24%

26%

xG 1.7 – 1.2O2.5 54%BTTS 56%

تونس

1-1▼

50%

25%

xG 1.6 – 1.0O2.5 48%BTTS 51%

الأردن

1-1▼

49%

26%

25%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 46%BTTS 50%

Bosnia & Herzegovina

1-1▼

49%

24%

27%

xG 1.6 – 1.1O2.5 51%BTTS 52%

بنما

1-1▼

48%

27%

25%

xG 1.5 – 1.0O2.5 45%BTTS 49%

اسكتلندا

1-1▼

48%

24%

28%

xG 1.6 – 1.2O2.5 52%BTTS 54%

الإكوادور

1-1▼

47%

26%

27%

xG 1.5 – 1.1O2.5 47%BTTS 50%

النرويج

1-1▼

46%

25%

29%

xG 1.6 – 1.2O2.5 52%BTTS 55%

كندا

1-1▼

46%

24%

30%

xG 1.6 – 1.2O2.5 53%BTTS 55%

Ivory Coast

1-1▼

45%

26%

29%

xG 1.5 – 1.2O2.5 50%BTTS 53%

المغرب

1-1▼

45%

27%

28%

xG 1.5 – 1.1O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

أستراليا

1-1▼

45%

25%

30%

xG 1.5 – 1.1O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

أمريكا

1-1▼

45%

26%

30%

xG 1.5 – 1.2O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

كولومبيا

1-1▼

45%

26%

29%

xG 1.5 – 1.2O2.5 50%BTTS 53%

باراغواي

1-1▼

45%

26%

30%

xG 1.4 – 1.1O2.5 47%BTTS 51%

المكسيك

1-1▼

44%

25%

31%

xG 1.6 – 1.3O2.5 55%BTTS 57%

نيوزيلندا

1-1▼

44%

26%

30%

xG 1.4 – 1.1O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

السويد

1-1▼

44%

25%

31%

xG 1.4 – 1.1O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

سويسرا

1-1▼

44%

26%

30%

xG 1.5 – 1.2O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

السعودية

1-1▼

44%

26%

30%

xG 1.5 – 1.2O2.5 50%BTTS 54%

الجزائر

1-1▼

44%

25%

32%

xG 1.6 – 1.3O2.5 55%BTTS 58%

الكونغو الديمقراطية

1-1▼

42%

27%

31%

xG 1.3 – 1.1O2.5 43%BTTS 49%

اليابان

1-1▼

42%

25%

33%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 48%BTTS 52%

تركيا

1-1▼

42%

26%

32%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

بلجيكا

1-1▼

41%

26%

32%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 48%BTTS 53%

أوروغواي

1-1▼

41%

26%

32%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 48%BTTS 53%

السنغال

1-1▼

41%

26%

33%

xG 1.4 – 1.2O2.5 48%BTTS 53%

هولندا

1-1▼

41%

26%

33%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 49%BTTS 54%

كرواتيا

1-1▼

40%

26%

34%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 51%BTTS 56%

Czech Republic

1-1▼

40%

26%

33%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 50%BTTS 55%

البرازيل

1-1▼

40%

26%

34%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 49%BTTS 54%

النمسا

1-1▼

40%

26%

34%

xG 1.3 – 1.2O2.5 47%BTTS 52%

إسبانيا

1-1▼

39%

26%

35%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 50%BTTS 53%

الأرجنتين

1-1▼

39%

27%

34%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 50%BTTS 55%

ألمانيا

1-1▼

39%

27%

35%

xG 1.4 – 1.3O2.5 50%BTTS 55%

إنجلترا

1-1▼

35%

26%

39%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 51%BTTS 55%

البرتغال

1-1▼

35%

27%

39%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 49%BTTS 53%

فرنسا

1-1▼

34%

26%

40%

xG 1.3 – 1.4O2.5 51%BTTS 54%

Sensitivity Analysis(51 scenarios)

Rank Distribution Across Scenarios

Travel ×0

▼2

Travel ×0.5

▼2

Travel ×0.25

▼2

Host ×0

▼2

Mismatch t=0.3 a=1.2

▼2

Heat ×1.25

▼1

Heat ×0.25

▼1

Altitude ×1.5

▼1

Travel ×1.25

▼1

Host ×0.5

▼1

Mismatch t=0.15 a=0.7

▼1

Mismatch t=0.2 a=0.9

▼1

Spread 2.5

▼1

Penalty rand=0.3

▼1

Baseline

—

Heat ×1.5

—

Heat ×2.5

—

Heat ×3

—

Heat ×1.75

—

Altitude ×0.75

—

Altitude ×2

—

Altitude ×3

—

Travel ×0.75

—

Spread 1

—

Spread 2.1

—

Uplift 1.15

—

Heat ×0

▲1

Heat ×0.5

▲1

Heat ×2

▲1

Altitude ×0

▲1

Altitude ×0.5

▲1

Altitude ×2.5

▲1

Altitude ×0.25

▲1

Altitude ×1.75

▲1

Mismatch t=0.1 a=0.5

▲1

Spread 1.5

▲1

Spread 3

▲1

Penalty rand=0.5

▲1

Penalty rand=0.7

▲1

Uplift 1

▲1

Heat ×0.75

▲2

Altitude ×1.25

▲2

Travel ×1.5

▲2

Travel ×2

▲2

Travel ×2.5

▲2

Travel ×3

▲2

Travel ×1.75

▲2

Host ×1.5

▲2

Host ×2

▲2

Host ×3

▲2

Mismatch t=0.05 a=0.3

▲2

Baseline: #7·Lower rank = stronger

baseline

1 scenarios · #7

heat

10 scenarios · #6–#9

altitude

10 scenarios · #6–#9

travel

10 scenarios · #5–#9

host

5 scenarios · #5–#9

mismatch

5 scenarios · #5–#9

spread

5 scenarios · #6–#8

penalty

3 scenarios · #6–#8

uplift

2 scenarios · #7–#8

Turkiye

OddsFlow AI Analysis

اللاعبون النجوم

احتمالات البطولة

نقاط القوة

Manager & Tactical Profile

Tournament Path Forecast

Team Strength & Intelligence

H2H Matchup Predictions(48)

Sensitivity Analysis(51 scenarios)

احصل على إشارة AI مباشرة مجانية — بدون تأخير

Turkiye

OddsFlow AI Analysis

اللاعبون النجوم

احتمالات البطولة

نقاط القوة

Manager & Tactical Profile

Tournament Path Forecast

Team Strength & Intelligence

H2H Matchup Predictions(48)

Sensitivity Analysis(51 scenarios)

احصل على إشارة AI مباشرة مجانية — بدون تأخير